Thermax (India) Price Prediction
| THERMAX Stock | 4,905 108.95 2.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.966 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 15.54 | EPS Estimate Current Year 51.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 64.62 | Wall Street Target Price 4.4 K |
Using Thermax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thermax Limited from the perspective of Thermax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Thermax to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Thermax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Thermax after-hype prediction price | INR 4764.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Thermax |
Thermax After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thermax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thermax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thermax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thermax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thermax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thermax's historical news coverage. Thermax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4,762 and 5,270, respectively. We have considered Thermax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thermax is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thermax Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thermax Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thermax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thermax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thermax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.22 | 17.01 | 0.38 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4,905 | 4,764 | 0.56 |
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Thermax Hype Timeline
Thermax Limited is at this time traded for 4,905on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -17.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.38. Thermax is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4764.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 0.91%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Thermax is about 41.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4,905. About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 65.72. Thermax Limited last dividend was issued on the 5th of July 2024. The entity had 5:1 split on the 31st of March 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Thermax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Thermax Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thermax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thermax's future price movements. Getting to know how Thermax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thermax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HDFCLIFE | HDFC Life Insurance | (28.55) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.31 | (2.37) | 6.72 | |
| BIKAJI | Bikaji Foods International | 7.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.75 | (4.14) | 12.74 | |
| LICI | Life Insurance | (10.50) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.23 | (2.52) | 8.86 | |
| PATANJALI | Patanjali Foods Limited | 43.20 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.92 | (2.97) | 12.36 | |
| FRETAIL | Future Retail Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HNDFDS | Hindustan Foods Limited | 28.50 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.17 | (3.22) | 10.78 | |
| OSIAHYPER | Osia Hyper Retail | (1.84) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.97 | (5.00) | 8.81 |
Thermax Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thermax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thermax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thermax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Thermax Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Thermax stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Thermax Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Thermax based on analysis of Thermax hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Thermax's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Thermax's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Thermax
The number of cover stories for Thermax depends on current market conditions and Thermax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thermax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thermax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Thermax Short Properties
Thermax's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thermax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thermax Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thermax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thermax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.7 B |
Additional Tools for Thermax Stock Analysis
When running Thermax's price analysis, check to measure Thermax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thermax is operating at the current time. Most of Thermax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thermax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thermax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thermax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.