Constellation Brands Class Stock Price Prediction
| STZ Stock | USD 222.71 1.56 0.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.459 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.9 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.42 | Wall Street Target Price 289.204 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 4.08 |
Using Constellation Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Constellation Brands Class from the perspective of Constellation Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Constellation Brands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Constellation Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Constellation. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Constellation can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Constellation Brands Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Constellation Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Constellation Brands.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Constellation Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Constellation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Constellation Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 222.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Constellation |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Constellation Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Constellation Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Constellation Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Constellation Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Constellation Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Constellation Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Constellation Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Constellation Brands' historical news coverage. Constellation Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 220.98 and 223.58, respectively. We have considered Constellation Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Constellation Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Constellation Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Constellation Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Constellation Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Constellation Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Constellation Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.30 | 0.43 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
222.71 | 222.28 | 0.19 |
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Constellation Brands Hype Timeline
On the 29th of December Constellation Brands is traded for 222.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Constellation is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 222.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 63.73%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Constellation Brands is about 321.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 222.63. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. Constellation Brands last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Constellation Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Constellation Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Constellation Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Constellation Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Constellation Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Constellation Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BF-B | Brown Forman | (0.16) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.19 | (3.10) | 14.10 | |
| NAPA | Duckhorn Portfolio | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.53 | (1.45) | 103.32 | |
| MGPI | MGP Ingredients | (0.95) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.16 | (5.25) | 25.59 | |
| BF-A | Brown Forman | (0.54) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.27 | (2.97) | 14.90 | |
| DEO | Diageo PLC ADR | (2.31) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.78 | (2.41) | 8.81 | |
| PRNDY | Pernod Ricard SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.80 | (3.24) | 11.47 | |
| VINE | Fresh Grapes LLC | (0.06) | 2 per month | 8.95 | 0 | 15.29 | (13.85) | 47.13 | |
| TSRYY | Treasury Wine Estates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.88 | (3.09) | 12.86 | |
| NWINF | Naked Wines plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.59 | 0.03 | 13.64 | (10.81) | 37.95 | |
| WVVI | Willamette Valley Vineyards | (0.01) | 5 per month | 1.42 | (0.01) | 3.76 | (2.26) | 8.49 |
Constellation Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Constellation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Constellation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Constellation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Constellation Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Constellation Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Constellation Brands Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Constellation Brands based on analysis of Constellation Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Constellation Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Constellation Brands's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.014 | 0.0136 | 0.0144 | 0.007657 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.65 | 4.56 | 4.57 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Constellation Brands
The number of cover stories for Constellation Brands depends on current market conditions and Constellation Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Constellation Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Constellation Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Constellation Brands Short Properties
Constellation Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Constellation Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Constellation Brands Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Constellation Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Constellation Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.4 M |
Additional Tools for Constellation Stock Analysis
When running Constellation Brands' price analysis, check to measure Constellation Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Constellation Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Constellation Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Constellation Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Constellation Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Constellation Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.