Stealthgas Stock Price Prediction

GASS Stock  USD 5.06  0.03  0.59%   
At this time, the value of relative strength index of StealthGas' share price is approaching 31. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling StealthGas, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

31

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of StealthGas' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of StealthGas and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from StealthGas' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with StealthGas, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting StealthGas' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.593
Wall Street Target Price
10
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.139
Using StealthGas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of StealthGas from the perspective of StealthGas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in StealthGas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying StealthGas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

StealthGas after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out StealthGas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy StealthGas Stock please use our How to Invest in StealthGas guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of StealthGas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.875.927.97
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

StealthGas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of StealthGas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in StealthGas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of StealthGas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

StealthGas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting StealthGas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on StealthGas' historical news coverage. StealthGas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.96 and 7.06, respectively. We have considered StealthGas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.06
5.01
After-hype Price
7.06
Upside
StealthGas is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of StealthGas is based on 3 months time horizon.

StealthGas Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as StealthGas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading StealthGas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with StealthGas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
2.05
  0.05 
  0.24 
7 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.06
5.01
0.99 
2,050  
Notes

StealthGas Hype Timeline

StealthGas is currently traded for 5.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. StealthGas is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.99%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.45%. The volatility of related hype on StealthGas is about 384.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.82. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. StealthGas last dividend was issued on the 26th of February 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out StealthGas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy StealthGas Stock please use our How to Invest in StealthGas guide.

StealthGas Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to StealthGas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict StealthGas' future price movements. Getting to know how StealthGas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how StealthGas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DACDanaos(1.65)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.09 (3.26) 8.98 
GSLGlobal Ship Lease 0.12 10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.59 (2.46) 7.98 
CPLPCapital Product Partners 0.19 8 per month 2.13  0.02  3.59 (3.04) 14.99 
ESEAEuroseas(3.50)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.41 (4.64) 14.25 
NMMNavios Maritime Partners(1.37)10 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.17 (3.51) 12.25 
KEXKirby(1.23)8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.13 (2.64) 13.14 
CLCOCool Company(0.20)7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.16 (4.68) 16.55 
HSHPHimalaya Shipping 0.01 3 per month 0.00 (0.30) 4.13 (4.06) 15.33 
NMNavios Maritime Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.56 (4.86) 16.27 
CMRECostamare 0.26 10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.81 (3.99) 7.81 
USEAUnited Maritime(0.06)6 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.63 (4.46) 10.69 
TOPSTOP Ships(0.31)6 per month 0.00 (0.22) 4.55 (4.40) 13.27 
GLBSGlobus Maritime(0.07)11 per month 0.00 (0.22) 4.42 (5.93) 22.00 
CTRMCastor Maritime(0.01)7 per month 0.00 (0.21) 3.18 (3.62) 12.58 
SBSafe Bulkers(0.18)9 per month 0.00 (0.30) 3.13 (3.10) 8.13 

StealthGas Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine StealthGas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for StealthGas using various technical indicators. When you analyze StealthGas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About StealthGas Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of StealthGas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as StealthGas, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of StealthGas based on analysis of StealthGas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to StealthGas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to StealthGas's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03470.033
Price To Sales Ratio1.671.59

Story Coverage note for StealthGas

The number of cover stories for StealthGas depends on current market conditions and StealthGas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that StealthGas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about StealthGas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

StealthGas Short Properties

StealthGas' future price predictability will typically decrease when StealthGas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of StealthGas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential StealthGas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. StealthGas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.2 M

Additional Tools for StealthGas Stock Analysis

When running StealthGas' price analysis, check to measure StealthGas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy StealthGas is operating at the current time. Most of StealthGas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of StealthGas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move StealthGas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of StealthGas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.