FedEx (Brazil) Price Prediction

FDXB34 Stock  BRL 1,715  108.65  5.96%   
The value of RSI of FedEx's stock price is about 65. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling FedEx, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FedEx's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FedEx, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using FedEx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FedEx from the perspective of FedEx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FedEx to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FedEx because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FedEx after-hype prediction price

    
  BRL 1715.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out FedEx Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade FedEx Stock refer to our How to Trade FedEx Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3991,4021,887
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,8741,8771,879
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,6501,7311,812
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FedEx. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FedEx's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FedEx's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FedEx.

FedEx After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FedEx at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FedEx or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FedEx, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FedEx Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FedEx's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FedEx's historical news coverage. FedEx's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,713 and 1,718, respectively. We have considered FedEx's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,715
1,715
After-hype Price
1,718
Upside
FedEx is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FedEx is based on 3 months time horizon.

FedEx Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FedEx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FedEx backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FedEx, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,715
1,715
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

FedEx Hype Timeline

FedEx is currently traded for 1,715on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FedEx is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on FedEx is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,715. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FedEx has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 67.59. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out FedEx Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade FedEx Stock refer to our How to Trade FedEx Stock guide.

FedEx Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FedEx's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FedEx's future price movements. Getting to know how FedEx's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FedEx may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FedEx Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FedEx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FedEx using various technical indicators. When you analyze FedEx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FedEx Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FedEx stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FedEx, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FedEx based on analysis of FedEx hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FedEx's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FedEx's related companies.

Story Coverage note for FedEx

The number of cover stories for FedEx depends on current market conditions and FedEx's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FedEx is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FedEx's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

FedEx Short Properties

FedEx's future price predictability will typically decrease when FedEx's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FedEx often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FedEx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FedEx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding259.8 M

Complementary Tools for FedEx Stock analysis

When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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