China Pacific (UK) Price Prediction

CPIC Stock   19.00  0.00  0.00%   
At the present time The value of RSI of China Pacific's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

100

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Pacific's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Pacific and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Pacific's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Pacific Insurance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Pacific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Pacific Insurance from the perspective of China Pacific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Pacific to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Pacific after-hype prediction price

    
  GBP 19.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3418.5719.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5418.7720.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0019.0019.00
Details

China Pacific Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility

As far as predicting the price of China Pacific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Pacific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Pacific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Pacific Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Pacific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.23
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.00
19.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

China Pacific Hype Timeline

China Pacific Insurance is currently traded for 19.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Pacific is about 5857.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out China Pacific Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Pacific Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Pacific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Pacific's future price movements. Getting to know how China Pacific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Pacific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0QZ5Cognizant Technology Solutions(0.37)3 per month 1.04  0.13  2.30 (1.35) 7.81 
LINVLendinvest PLC 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.82 (1.72) 9.05 
NMTNeometals(0.49)3 per month 0.00 (0.13) 5.88 (11.11) 31.52 
0R8QCoor Service Management(0.22)1 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.28 (3.33) 8.59 
AATGAlbion Technology General 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.21  0.00  4.41 
JUPJupiter Fund Management 2.97 4 per month 1.64  0.05  4.08 (3.28) 10.85 
SUPRSupermarket Income REIT(1.18)4 per month 0.79  0.03  2.32 (1.73) 4.70 
AEOAeorema Communications Plc 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.72 (1.71) 11.00 
JLENJLEN Environmental Assets(0.20)3 per month 1.00  0.12  1.89 (1.57) 6.82 
POWPower Metal Resources(0.30)3 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.11 (4.55) 15.86 

China Pacific Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Pacific Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Pacific stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Pacific Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Pacific based on analysis of China Pacific hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Pacific's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China Pacific

The number of cover stories for China Pacific depends on current market conditions and China Pacific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Pacific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Pacific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for China Stock Analysis

When running China Pacific's price analysis, check to measure China Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of China Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.