BTS Group (Thailand) Price Prediction

BTS Stock  THB 4.84  0.06  1.22%   
The value of RSI of BTS Group's share price is above 70 as of now suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling BTS, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BTS Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BTS Group Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BTS Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BTS Group Holdings from the perspective of BTS Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BTS Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BTS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BTS Group after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 4.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BTS Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.063.945.82
Details

BTS Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BTS Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BTS Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BTS Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BTS Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BTS Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BTS Group's historical news coverage. BTS Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.96 and 6.72, respectively. We have considered BTS Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.84
4.84
After-hype Price
6.72
Upside
BTS Group is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BTS Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

BTS Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BTS Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BTS Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BTS Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.88
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.84
4.84
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BTS Group Hype Timeline

BTS Group Holdings is currently traded for 4.84on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BTS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on BTS Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.84. About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BTS Group Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2023. The firm had 1:6 split on the 10th of August 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out BTS Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BTS Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BTS Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BTS Group's future price movements. Getting to know how BTS Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BTS Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BTS Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BTS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BTS using various technical indicators. When you analyze BTS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BTS Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BTS Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BTS Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BTS Group based on analysis of BTS Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BTS Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BTS Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for BTS Group

The number of cover stories for BTS Group depends on current market conditions and BTS Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BTS Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BTS Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BTS Group Short Properties

BTS Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when BTS Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BTS Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BTS Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BTS Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 B

Other Information on Investing in BTS Stock

BTS Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether BTS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BTS with respect to the benefits of owning BTS Group security.