Ainsworth Game (Australia) Price Prediction
| AGI Stock | 0.82 0.03 3.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3 | Wall Street Target Price 1.1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
Using Ainsworth Game hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ainsworth Game Technology from the perspective of Ainsworth Game response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ainsworth Game to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ainsworth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ainsworth Game after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ainsworth |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ainsworth Game's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ainsworth Game After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ainsworth Game at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ainsworth Game or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ainsworth Game, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ainsworth Game Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ainsworth Game's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ainsworth Game's historical news coverage. Ainsworth Game's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 3.67, respectively. We have considered Ainsworth Game's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ainsworth Game is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ainsworth Game Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ainsworth Game Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ainsworth Game is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ainsworth Game backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ainsworth Game, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.82 | 0.82 | 0.00 |
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Ainsworth Game Hype Timeline
Ainsworth Game Technology is presently traded for 0.82on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ainsworth is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ainsworth Game is about 9913.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.82. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ainsworth Game Technology last dividend was issued on the 4th of October 2018. The entity had 1.0088:1 split on the 23rd of November 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Ainsworth Game Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ainsworth Game Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ainsworth Game's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ainsworth Game's future price movements. Getting to know how Ainsworth Game's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ainsworth Game may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GTN | Gtn | 0.01 | 4 per month | 1.45 | 0.02 | 5.00 | (2.70) | 16.54 | |
| HLS | Healius | 0.01 | 4 per month | 1.35 | 0.07 | 3.73 | (2.94) | 16.52 | |
| BRI | Big River Industries | (0.02) | 1 per month | 3.08 | 0.04 | 5.22 | (3.62) | 20.63 | |
| DDB | Dynamic Drill And | 0.00 | 1 per month | 1.88 | 0.1 | 5.26 | (3.70) | 31.94 | |
| ILU | Iluka Resources | 0.07 | 2 per month | 2.17 | (0.01) | 3.64 | (3.62) | 7.65 | |
| NUF | Nufarm | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.10 | (3.11) | 14.98 | |
| CEH | COAST ENTERTAINMENT HOLDINGS | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.35 | (4.44) | 15.14 | |
| IFL | Insignia Financial | 0.08 | 5 per month | 3.68 | 0.05 | 4.41 | (4.87) | 29.34 |
Ainsworth Game Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ainsworth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ainsworth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ainsworth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ainsworth Game Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ainsworth Game stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ainsworth Game Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ainsworth Game based on analysis of Ainsworth Game hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ainsworth Game's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ainsworth Game's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ainsworth Game
The number of cover stories for Ainsworth Game depends on current market conditions and Ainsworth Game's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ainsworth Game is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ainsworth Game's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ainsworth Game Short Properties
Ainsworth Game's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ainsworth Game's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ainsworth Game Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ainsworth Game's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ainsworth Game's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 336.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.7 M |
Additional Tools for Ainsworth Stock Analysis
When running Ainsworth Game's price analysis, check to measure Ainsworth Game's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ainsworth Game is operating at the current time. Most of Ainsworth Game's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ainsworth Game's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ainsworth Game's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ainsworth Game to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.