MOL Hungarian (UK) Price Prediction
| 0RUK Stock | 2,922 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) |
Using MOL Hungarian hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MOL Hungarian Oil from the perspective of MOL Hungarian response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MOL Hungarian to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MOL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MOL Hungarian after-hype prediction price | GBP 2922.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MOL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MOL Hungarian's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MOL Hungarian After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MOL Hungarian at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MOL Hungarian or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MOL Hungarian, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MOL Hungarian Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MOL Hungarian's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MOL Hungarian's historical news coverage. MOL Hungarian's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,921 and 2,923, respectively. We have considered MOL Hungarian's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MOL Hungarian is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MOL Hungarian Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
MOL Hungarian Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MOL Hungarian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MOL Hungarian backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MOL Hungarian, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2,922 | 2,922 | 0.00 |
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MOL Hungarian Hype Timeline
MOL Hungarian Oil is presently traded for 2,922on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. MOL is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on MOL Hungarian is about 88.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,922. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. MOL Hungarian Oil had 8:1 split on the 26th of September 3030190. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out MOL Hungarian Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MOL Hungarian Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MOL Hungarian's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MOL Hungarian's future price movements. Getting to know how MOL Hungarian's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MOL Hungarian may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0RFX | Bell Food Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.19 | (1.39) | 5.92 | |
| ELLA | Ecclesiastical Insurance Office | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.47 | (0.08) | 1.89 | (1.13) | 3.78 | |
| 0R8S | Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.76 | 0.02 | 1.34 | (1.82) | 5.74 | |
| 0IFX | Electronic Arts | (0.96) | 8 per month | 0.89 | 0.11 | 2.10 | (1.67) | 7.83 | |
| 0IJV | Extra Space Storage | 2.04 | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.14 | 2.78 | (2.92) | 6.69 | |
| EFID | Edita Food Industries | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.48 | |
| ABF | Associated British Foods | 6.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.19 | (2.10) | 5.33 | |
| TTG | TT Electronics Plc | (2.00) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.27 | (3.14) | 8.52 |
MOL Hungarian Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MOL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MOL using various technical indicators. When you analyze MOL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MOL Hungarian Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MOL Hungarian stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MOL Hungarian Oil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MOL Hungarian based on analysis of MOL Hungarian hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MOL Hungarian's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MOL Hungarian's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MOL Hungarian
The number of cover stories for MOL Hungarian depends on current market conditions and MOL Hungarian's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MOL Hungarian is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MOL Hungarian's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for MOL Stock Analysis
When running MOL Hungarian's price analysis, check to measure MOL Hungarian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOL Hungarian is operating at the current time. Most of MOL Hungarian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOL Hungarian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOL Hungarian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOL Hungarian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.