ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 Market Value

29359UAC3   78.77  5.68  6.73%   
29359UAC3's market value is the price at which a share of 29359UAC3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 29359UAC3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 29359UAC3 Correlation, 29359UAC3 Volatility and 29359UAC3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 29359UAC3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 29359UAC3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 29359UAC3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 29359UAC3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

29359UAC3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 29359UAC3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 29359UAC3.
0.00
08/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 29359UAC3 on August 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 29359UAC3 over 90 days. 29359UAC3 is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Coinbase Global, Interlink Electronics, Rolls Royce, Xpeng, and Select STOXX. More

29359UAC3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 29359UAC3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

29359UAC3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 29359UAC3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 29359UAC3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 29359UAC3 historical prices to predict the future 29359UAC3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.7278.7779.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.8065.8586.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.2583.3084.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
72.2681.1890.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 29359UAC3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 29359UAC3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 29359UAC3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ESGR 31 01.

ESGR 31 01 Backtested Returns

ESGR 31 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 29359UAC3's Standard Deviation of 4.18, mean deviation of 1.82, and Information Ratio of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 29359UAC3's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 29359UAC3 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

ESGR 31 01 SEP 31 has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 29359UAC3 time series from 17th of August 2024 to 1st of October 2024 and 1st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ESGR 31 01 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current 29359UAC3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.92

ESGR 31 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 29359UAC3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 29359UAC3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 29359UAC3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 29359UAC3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

29359UAC3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 29359UAC3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 29359UAC3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 29359UAC3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

29359UAC3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 29359UAC3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 29359UAC3 bond have on its future price. 29359UAC3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 29359UAC3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 29359UAC3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ESGR 31 01 SEP 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 29359UAC3 Bond

29359UAC3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 29359UAC3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 29359UAC3 with respect to the benefits of owning 29359UAC3 security.