ALLSTATE P 535 Market Value
| 020002AQ4 | 102.66 1.50 1.48% |
| Symbol | ALLSTATE |
ALLSTATE 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ALLSTATE's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ALLSTATE.
| 12/06/2022 |
| 11/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in ALLSTATE on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ALLSTATE P 535 or generate 0.0% return on investment in ALLSTATE over 720 days. ALLSTATE is related to or competes with Valneva SE, Acumen Pharmaceuticals, Apogee Therapeutics,, Cedar Realty, Alvarium Tiedemann, Nomura Holdings, and Ardelyx. More
ALLSTATE Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ALLSTATE's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ALLSTATE P 535 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.48 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.46 |
ALLSTATE Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ALLSTATE's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ALLSTATE's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ALLSTATE historical prices to predict the future ALLSTATE's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0063 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.30) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.31) |
ALLSTATE P 535 Backtested Returns
ALLSTATE P 535 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.037, which signifies that the bond had a -0.037% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ALLSTATE P 535 exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ALLSTATE's Mean Deviation of 0.8698, risk adjusted performance of 0.0063, and Semi Deviation of 1.89 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0288, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ALLSTATE's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ALLSTATE is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.46 |
Modest reverse predictability
ALLSTATE P 535 has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ALLSTATE time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ALLSTATE P 535 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current ALLSTATE price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.46 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.34 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 3.44 |
ALLSTATE P 535 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is ALLSTATE bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ALLSTATE's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ALLSTATE returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ALLSTATE has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
ALLSTATE regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ALLSTATE bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ALLSTATE bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ALLSTATE bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
ALLSTATE Lagged Returns
When evaluating ALLSTATE's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ALLSTATE bond have on its future price. ALLSTATE autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ALLSTATE autocorrelation shows the relationship between ALLSTATE bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ALLSTATE P 535.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in ALLSTATE Bond
ALLSTATE financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALLSTATE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALLSTATE with respect to the benefits of owning ALLSTATE security.