Is Sera Prognostics Stock a Good Investment?

Sera Prognostics Investment Advice

  SERA
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Sera Prognostics stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Sera Prognostics. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Sera Prognostics in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Sera Prognostics' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Sera Prognostics' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Sera Prognostics navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Biotechnology space and any emerging trends that could impact Sera Prognostics' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Sera Prognostics' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Sera Prognostics is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Sera Prognostics pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Sera Prognostics' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Sera Prognostics stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Sera Prognostics is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Sera Prognostics. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Sera Prognostics is not overpriced, please validate all Sera Prognostics fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the total debt and number of employees . Given that Sera Prognostics has a number of shares shorted of 811.38 K, we advise you to double-check Sera Prognostics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Sera Prognostics Stock

Researching Sera Prognostics' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sera Prognostics was at this time reported as 1.79. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.98. Sera Prognostics had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Sera Prognostics is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Sera Prognostics' research are outlined below:
Sera Prognostics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 306 K. Net Loss for the year was (36.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75 K.
Sera Prognostics currently holds about 106.91 M in cash with (27.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.45.
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Sera Prognostics President Evguenia Lindgardt Sells 26 percent Of Holding

Sera Prognostics Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments

50.94 Million

Sera Prognostics uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Sera Prognostics. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Sera Prognostics' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Sera Prognostics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Sera Prognostics' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-05-10
2023-03-31-0.38-0.340.0410 
2023-03-22
2022-12-31-0.37-0.310.0616 
2023-11-08
2023-09-30-0.34-0.230.1132 
2022-03-29
2021-12-31-0.29-0.41-0.1241 
2021-11-09
2021-09-30-0.25-0.39-0.1456 
2022-11-09
2022-09-30-0.56-0.350.2137 
2021-08-30
2021-06-30-1.26-3.17-1.91151 

Know Sera Prognostics' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sera Prognostics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sera Prognostics backward and forwards among themselves. Sera Prognostics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sera Prognostics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
109.2 K
Ensign Peak Advisors Inc2024-06-30
102.2 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
86.1 K
Perigon Wealth Management, Llc2024-06-30
85.2 K
Resolute Capital Asset Partners Llc2024-06-30
80 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
77.1 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
64.9 K
Requisite Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
55.6 K
Ballentine Finn & Company Inc2024-06-30
49.7 K
Baker Bros Advisors Lp2024-06-30
5.4 M
Ra Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
M
Note, although Sera Prognostics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sera Prognostics' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 240.25 M.

Evaluate Sera Prognostics' management efficiency

Sera Prognostics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2436) % which means that it has lost $0.2436 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4477) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Sera Prognostics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Sera Prognostics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
The analysis of Sera Prognostics' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Sera Prognostics' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Sera Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.035

Basic technical analysis of Sera Stock

As of the 24th of September, Sera Prognostics has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0298, coefficient of variation of 3719.66, and Semi Deviation of 3.93. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Sera Prognostics, as well as the relationship between them.

Sera Prognostics' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Sera Prognostics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Sera Prognostics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Sera Prognostics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Lindgardt Zhenya over a week ago
Disposition of 25085 shares by Lindgardt Zhenya of Sera Prognostics at 7.57 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Mirza Mansoor Raza over two weeks ago
Disposition of tradable shares by Mirza Mansoor Raza of Sera Prognostics at 7.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Kamdar Kim P. over a month ago
Acquisition by Kamdar Kim P. of 10549 shares of Sera Prognostics at 8.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Wilson Marcus Dean over two months ago
Acquisition by Wilson Marcus Dean of 7117 shares of Sera Prognostics subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Austin Aerts over two months ago
Disposition of 5415 shares by Austin Aerts of Sera Prognostics at 8.11 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Phillips Joshua over three months ago
Acquisition by Phillips Joshua of 10549 shares of Sera Prognostics at 8.43 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Phillips Joshua over three months ago
Disposition of 36040 shares by Phillips Joshua of Sera Prognostics subject to Rule 16b-3
 
John Boniface over three months ago
Disposition of 2725 shares by John Boniface of Sera Prognostics at 1.54 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jackson Benjamin over six months ago
Disposition of 1856 shares by Jackson Benjamin of Sera Prognostics at 9.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Paul Kearney over six months ago
Sale by Paul Kearney of 4984 shares of Sera Prognostics
 
Paul Kearney over six months ago
Acquisition by Paul Kearney of 125000 shares of Sera Prognostics subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Lawrence Sandra Aj over a year ago
Acquisition by Lawrence Sandra Aj of 63265 shares of Sera Prognostics subject to Rule 16b-3

Sera Prognostics' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Sera Prognostics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Sera Prognostics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Sera bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Sera Prognostics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Sera Prognostics' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Sera Prognostics' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Sera Prognostics' intraday indicators

Sera Prognostics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Sera Prognostics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Sera Prognostics Corporate Filings

F4
10th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13th of August 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
7th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
23rd of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Sera Prognostics time-series forecasting models is one of many Sera Prognostics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Sera Prognostics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Sera Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Sera Prognostics that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Sera media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Sera internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Sera data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Sera Prognostics news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Sera Prognostics relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Sera Prognostics' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Sera Prognostics alpha.

Sera Prognostics Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Sera Prognostics can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Sera Prognostics Corporate Management

Benjamin JDGeneral CounselProfile
Steven GravesCoFounder BoardProfile
Sean MDCoFounder BoardProfile
John BonifaceChief OfficerProfile
Paul KearneyChief OfficerProfile

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Sera Stock

When determining whether Sera Prognostics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sera Prognostics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sera Prognostics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sera Prognostics Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Sera Prognostics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
For information on how to trade Sera Stock refer to our How to Trade Sera Stock guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sera Prognostics. If investors know Sera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sera Prognostics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.98)
Revenue Per Share
0.003
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.81)
Return On Assets
(0.24)
Return On Equity
(0.45)
The market value of Sera Prognostics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sera Prognostics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sera Prognostics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sera Prognostics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sera Prognostics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Sera Prognostics' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Sera Prognostics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sera Prognostics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.