Is Sera Prognostics Stock a Good Investment?
Sera Prognostics Investment Advice | SERA |
- Examine Sera Prognostics' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Sera Prognostics' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Sera Prognostics navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Biotechnology space and any emerging trends that could impact Sera Prognostics' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Sera Prognostics' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Sera Prognostics is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Sera Prognostics pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Sera Prognostics' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Sera Prognostics stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Sera Prognostics is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine Sera Prognostics Stock
Researching Sera Prognostics' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sera Prognostics was at this time reported as 1.62. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.99. Sera Prognostics had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Sera Prognostics is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Sera Prognostics' research are outlined below:
| Sera Prognostics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 306 K. Net Loss for the year was (36.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75 K. | |
| Sera Prognostics currently holds about 106.91 M in cash with (27.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.45. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Sera Prognostics director sells 695 in stock |
Sera Prognostics Quarterly Cash And Short Term Investments |
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Sera Prognostics uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Sera Prognostics. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Sera Prognostics' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 27th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 8th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 27th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Sera Prognostics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Sera Prognostics' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-05-10 | 2023-03-31 | -0.38 | -0.34 | 0.04 | 10 | ||
2023-03-22 | 2022-12-31 | -0.37 | -0.31 | 0.06 | 16 | ||
2023-11-08 | 2023-09-30 | -0.34 | -0.23 | 0.11 | 32 | ||
2022-03-29 | 2021-12-31 | -0.29 | -0.41 | -0.12 | 41 | ||
2021-11-09 | 2021-09-30 | -0.25 | -0.39 | -0.14 | 56 | ||
2022-11-09 | 2022-09-30 | -0.56 | -0.35 | 0.21 | 37 | ||
2021-08-30 | 2021-06-30 | -1.26 | -3.17 | -1.91 | 151 |
Sera Prognostics Target Price Consensus
Sera target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Sera Prognostics' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 2 | Strong Buy |
Most Sera analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Sera stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Sera Prognostics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationSera Prognostics Target Price Projection
Sera Prognostics' current and average target prices are 7.24 and 2.75, respectively. The current price of Sera Prognostics is the price at which Sera Prognostics is currently trading. On the other hand, Sera Prognostics' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Sera Prognostics Market Quote on 13th of November 2024
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Sera Prognostics Target Price
Sera Prognostics Analyst Ratings
Sera Prognostics' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Sera Prognostics stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Sera Prognostics' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Sera Prognostics' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Sera Prognostics' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Sera Prognostics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sera Prognostics backward and forwards among themselves. Sera Prognostics' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Sera Prognostics' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 109.2 K | Ensign Peak Advisors Inc | 2024-06-30 | 102.2 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 86.1 K | Perigon Wealth Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 80.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 77.1 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 64.9 K | Requisite Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 55.6 K | Ballentine Finn & Company Inc | 2024-06-30 | 49.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-06-30 | 49.3 K | Baker Bros Advisors Lp | 2024-06-30 | 5.4 M | Ra Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 3 M |
Sera Prognostics' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 244.51 M.Market Cap |
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Sera Prognostics' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.38) | (0.40) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.56) | (0.58) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.38) | (0.40) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.52) | (0.49) |
Determining Sera Prognostics' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Sera Prognostics is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Sera Prognostics' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Sera Prognostics' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Sera Prognostics' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Sera Prognostics' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Sera Prognostics' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Sera Prognostics' management efficiency
Sera Prognostics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2666) % which means that it has lost $0.2666 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.4958) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Sera Prognostics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Sera Prognostics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of November 13, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to -0.4. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to -0.58. At present, Sera Prognostics' Net Tangible Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 980.1 K, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 87.3 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.25 | 2.36 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 2.25 | 2.36 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (4.78) | (5.02) | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.66 | 2.79 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | (4.78) | (5.02) | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.66 | 2.79 | |
| Enterprise Value | 184.6 M | 93 M |
The strategic initiatives led by Sera Prognostics' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Beta 1.044 |
Basic technical analysis of Sera Stock
As of the 13th of November 2024, Sera Prognostics has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0248, coefficient of variation of 4707.42, and Semi Deviation of 4.43. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Sera Prognostics, as well as the relationship between them.Sera Prognostics' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Sera Prognostics insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Sera Prognostics' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Sera Prognostics insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Sera Prognostics' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
Sera Prognostics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Sera Prognostics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Sera bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Sera Prognostics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
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Understand Sera Prognostics' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Sera Prognostics' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0248 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0477 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4707.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.05 | |||
| Variance | 25.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.95) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0377 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.15) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4923 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.55 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0248 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0477 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.58 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 4707.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.05 | |||
| Variance | 25.47 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.31) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.95) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0377 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.67 | |||
| Value At Risk | (7.61) | |||
| Potential Upside | 9.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.15) | |||
| Skewness | 0.4923 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.55 |
Consider Sera Prognostics' intraday indicators
Sera Prognostics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Sera Prognostics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Sera Prognostics Corporate Filings
F4 | 12th of November 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 6th of November 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 4th of November 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
| 13th of August 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify |
Sera Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Sera Prognostics that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Sera media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Sera internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Sera data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Sera Prognostics news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Sera Prognostics relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Sera Prognostics' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Sera Prognostics alpha.
Sera Prognostics Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Sera Prognostics can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Sera Prognostics Corporate Management
| Benjamin JD | General Counsel | Profile | |
| Steven Graves | CoFounder Board | Profile | |
| Sean MD | CoFounder Board | Profile | |
| John Boniface | Chief Officer | Profile | |
| Paul Kearney | Chief Officer | Profile |
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Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sera Prognostics. If investors know Sera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sera Prognostics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.99) | Revenue Per Share 0.003 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets (0.27) | Return On Equity (0.50) |
The market value of Sera Prognostics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sera Prognostics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sera Prognostics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sera Prognostics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sera Prognostics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Sera Prognostics' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Sera Prognostics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sera Prognostics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.