Konami Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| KONMY Stock | USD 48.53 3.68 8.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
95
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Konami Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Konami Holdings from the perspective of Konami Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Konami Holdings to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Konami because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Konami Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 48.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Konami |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Konami Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Konami Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Konami Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Konami Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Konami Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Konami Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Konami Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Konami Holdings' historical news coverage. Konami Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.60 and 50.46, respectively. We have considered Konami Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Konami Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Konami Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Konami Holdings Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Konami Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Konami Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Konami Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 1.93 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
48.53 | 48.53 | 0.00 |
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Konami Holdings Hype Timeline
Konami Holdings is now traded for 48.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Konami is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on Konami Holdings is about 1346.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.61. The book value of the company was now reported as 1357.12. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Konami Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Konami Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Konami Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Konami Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Konami Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Konami Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OTGLY | CD Projekt SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.19 | 3.64 | (2.94) | 10.56 | |
| PLTK | Playtika Holding Corp | (0.27) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.04 | (2.99) | 9.07 | |
| GMGI | Golden Matrix Group | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.95 | (7.35) | 21.05 | |
| DDI | Doubledown Interactive Co | 0.04 | 8 per month | 4.49 | 0.01 | 7.12 | (4.51) | 22.45 | |
| MYPS | Playstudios | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.14 | (7.62) | 18.96 | |
| SOHU | SohuCom | 1.34 | 7 per month | 1.81 | 0.07 | 4.04 | (2.73) | 10.87 |
Konami Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Konami price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Konami using various technical indicators. When you analyze Konami charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Konami Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Konami Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Konami Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Konami Holdings based on analysis of Konami Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Konami Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Konami Holdings's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Konami Holdings
The number of cover stories for Konami Holdings depends on current market conditions and Konami Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Konami Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Konami Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Konami Holdings Short Properties
Konami Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Konami Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Konami Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Konami Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Konami Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133.6 M |
Additional Tools for Konami Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Konami Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Konami Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Konami Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Konami Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Konami Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Konami Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Konami Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.