Cvb Financial Stock Price Prediction

CVBF Stock  USD 22.97  0.34  1.46%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of CVB Financial's stock price is roughly 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 4th of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CVB, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CVB Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CVB Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CVB Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVB Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CVB Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.34
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4343
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4043
Wall Street Target Price
21.3333
Using CVB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVB Financial from the perspective of CVB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CVB Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CVB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CVB Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out CVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0621.8524.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.7122.5025.29
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.5020.3322.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.340.340.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CVB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CVB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CVB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CVB Financial.

CVB Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CVB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CVB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CVB Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVB Financial's historical news coverage. CVB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.01 and 25.59, respectively. We have considered CVB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.97
22.80
After-hype Price
25.59
Upside
CVB Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVB Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

CVB Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CVB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.47 
2.79
  0.17 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
19 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.97
22.80
0.74 
754.05  
Notes

CVB Financial Hype Timeline

CVB Financial is currently traded for 22.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. CVB is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on CVB Financial is about 6684.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.99. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CVB Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 3rd of January 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out CVB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in CVB Stock please use our How to Invest in CVB Financial guide.

CVB Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CVB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CVB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem(0.29)8 per month 1.75  0.04  3.54 (3.20) 18.74 
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares(0.11)10 per month 1.27  0.04  2.82 (2.03) 17.03 
IBTXIndependent Bank Group 2.30 8 per month 1.57  0.05  3.09 (3.04) 17.98 
EBMTEagle Bancorp Montana(0.17)7 per month 0.38  0.12  3.02 (0.87) 6.26 
BRKLBrookline Bancorp(0.21)7 per month 1.15  0.11  3.72 (2.11) 14.18 
KRNYKearny Financial Corp(0.22)7 per month 1.74  0.06  4.40 (3.47) 22.42 
EQBKEquity Bancshares,(0.55)5 per month 1.31  0.07  3.83 (2.24) 12.41 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.01 8 per month 1.58  0.05  2.91 (2.17) 19.67 
FVCBFVCBankcorp(0.21)7 per month 2.31  0.03  4.22 (3.23) 13.88 
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.01)5 per month 1.36  0.09  3.76 (2.41) 10.93 
CCBCoastal Financial Corp 0.06 11 per month 1.40  0.18  4.46 (2.69) 14.24 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.77  0.06  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
CFBCrossFirst Bankshares 0.54 10 per month 1.66 (0.04) 3.51 (2.91) 18.20 
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp(0.65)8 per month 1.87  0.02  3.44 (3.03) 20.79 
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp(0.05)6 per month 1.43 (0.01) 2.93 (2.24) 17.09 
PFBCPreferred Bank 2.48 9 per month 1.32  0.05  3.02 (2.59) 16.68 
BWBBridgewater Bancshares(0.08)9 per month 1.65 (0.02) 3.19 (2.82) 9.69 
BYByline Bancorp 0.79 8 per month 1.36  0.04  3.40 (2.51) 20.72 
BANFBancFirst 1.52 13 per month 1.45  0.07  3.37 (2.90) 20.44 
GBCIGlacier Bancorp 0.59 7 per month 1.64  0.09  3.88 (3.32) 14.43 
BOKFBOK Financial(3.01)10 per month 1.41  0.05  2.66 (2.18) 15.50 
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp(0.86)9 per month 1.56  0.02  3.09 (3.40) 18.14 
FBNCFirst Bancorp(1.05)9 per month 1.54  0.03  3.37 (2.51) 16.50 

CVB Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CVB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CVB Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CVB Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CVB Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CVB Financial based on analysis of CVB Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CVB Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CVB Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03380.0290.04020.0207
Price To Sales Ratio6.266.475.073.89

Story Coverage note for CVB Financial

The number of cover stories for CVB Financial depends on current market conditions and CVB Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVB Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVB Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CVB Financial Short Properties

CVB Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CVB Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVB Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments281.3 M

Complementary Tools for CVB Stock analysis

When running CVB Financial's price analysis, check to measure CVB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CVB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance