Esker SA (France) Price Prediction
| ALESK Stock | EUR 266.60 2.60 0.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Esker SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Esker SA from the perspective of Esker SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Esker SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Esker because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Esker SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 269.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Esker |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Esker SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Esker SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Esker SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Esker SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Esker SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Esker SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Esker SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Esker SA's historical news coverage. Esker SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 266.87 and 271.53, respectively. We have considered Esker SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Esker SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Esker SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Esker SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Esker SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Esker SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Esker SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
266.60 | 269.20 | 0.00 |
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Esker SA Hype Timeline
Esker SA is presently traded for 266.60on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Esker is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.64%. %. The volatility of related hype on Esker SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 266.60. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 169.34. Esker SA last dividend was issued on the 23rd of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Esker SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Esker SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Esker SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Esker SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Esker SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Esker SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLA | Claranova SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.30 | (4.47) | 13.00 | |
| BALYO | Balyo SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | (0.02) | 5.45 | (4.00) | 22.71 | |
| ALDBT | DBT SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.26 | (6.67) | 21.02 | |
| EKI | Ekinops SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.70 | 0.04 | 7.65 | (4.36) | 19.79 |
Esker SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Esker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Esker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Esker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Esker SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Esker SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Esker SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Esker SA based on analysis of Esker SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Esker SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Esker SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Esker SA
The number of cover stories for Esker SA depends on current market conditions and Esker SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Esker SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Esker SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Esker SA Short Properties
Esker SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Esker SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Esker SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Esker SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esker SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35 M |
Additional Tools for Esker Stock Analysis
When running Esker SA's price analysis, check to measure Esker SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esker SA is operating at the current time. Most of Esker SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esker SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esker SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esker SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.