AIR LIQUIDE (Germany) Price Prediction
| AILA Stock | EUR 32.00 0.40 1.27% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AIR LIQUIDE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AIR LIQUIDE ADR from the perspective of AIR LIQUIDE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AIR LIQUIDE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AIR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AIR LIQUIDE after-hype prediction price | EUR 32.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AIR |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AIR LIQUIDE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AIR LIQUIDE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AIR LIQUIDE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AIR LIQUIDE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AIR LIQUIDE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AIR LIQUIDE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AIR LIQUIDE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AIR LIQUIDE's historical news coverage. AIR LIQUIDE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.25 and 34.75, respectively. We have considered AIR LIQUIDE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AIR LIQUIDE is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AIR LIQUIDE ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
AIR LIQUIDE Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AIR LIQUIDE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AIR LIQUIDE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AIR LIQUIDE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.00 | 32.00 | 0.00 |
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AIR LIQUIDE Hype Timeline
AIR LIQUIDE ADR is presently traded for 32.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AIR is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on AIR LIQUIDE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2022. AIR LIQUIDE ADR had 10:11 split on the 9th of April 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AIR LIQUIDE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AIR LIQUIDE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AIR LIQUIDE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AIR LIQUIDE's future price movements. Getting to know how AIR LIQUIDE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AIR LIQUIDE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.20 | 0.06 | 3.52 | (4.11) | 10.46 | |
| SRI | Sun Art Retail | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.67 | (6.25) | 17.19 | |
| RSO | ROSS STORES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 1.74 | (1.51) | 11.51 | |
| FJZ | Zijin Mining Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.07 | 0.08 | 4.35 | (5.21) | 15.52 | |
| WCLA | Calibre Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.95 | 0.03 | 4.51 | (4.79) | 13.33 | |
| LB3C | QURATE RETAIL INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.18 | (6.70) | 16.52 |
AIR LIQUIDE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AIR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AIR using various technical indicators. When you analyze AIR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AIR LIQUIDE Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AIR LIQUIDE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AIR LIQUIDE ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AIR LIQUIDE based on analysis of AIR LIQUIDE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AIR LIQUIDE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AIR LIQUIDE's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AIR LIQUIDE
The number of cover stories for AIR LIQUIDE depends on current market conditions and AIR LIQUIDE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AIR LIQUIDE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AIR LIQUIDE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AIR LIQUIDE Short Properties
AIR LIQUIDE's future price predictability will typically decrease when AIR LIQUIDE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AIR LIQUIDE ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AIR LIQUIDE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIR LIQUIDE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0182 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.52 | |
| Shares Float | 2.6 B |
Complementary Tools for AIR Stock analysis
When running AIR LIQUIDE's price analysis, check to measure AIR LIQUIDE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AIR LIQUIDE is operating at the current time. Most of AIR LIQUIDE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AIR LIQUIDE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AIR LIQUIDE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AIR LIQUIDE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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