Leader Electronics (Taiwan) Price Prediction
| 3058 Stock | TWD 18.45 0.45 2.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Leader Electronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leader Electronics from the perspective of Leader Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Leader Electronics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Leader because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Leader Electronics after-hype prediction price | TWD 18.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Leader |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leader Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leader Electronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Leader Electronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leader Electronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Leader Electronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Leader Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Leader Electronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leader Electronics' historical news coverage. Leader Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.46 and 21.44, respectively. We have considered Leader Electronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Leader Electronics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leader Electronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Leader Electronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leader Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leader Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leader Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.45 | 18.45 | 0.00 |
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Leader Electronics Hype Timeline
Leader Electronics is presently traded for 18.45on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Leader is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Leader Electronics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.45. About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.11. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Leader Electronics recorded a loss per share of 2.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of August 2021. The firm had 1050:1000 split on the 16th of August 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Leader Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Leader Electronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Leader Electronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leader Electronics' future price movements. Getting to know how Leader Electronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leader Electronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 3059 | Altek Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.50 | (3.12) | 15.90 | |
| 3057 | Promise Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.60 | (4.69) | 18.55 | |
| 3048 | Edom Technology Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.49 | 0.06 | 9.96 | (5.73) | 19.91 | |
| 3055 | Spirox Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.80 | (5.44) | 19.70 | |
| 3041 | ALi Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.79 | (4.02) | 19.65 |
Leader Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Leader price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leader using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leader charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Leader Electronics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Leader Electronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Leader Electronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Leader Electronics based on analysis of Leader Electronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Leader Electronics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Leader Electronics's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Leader Electronics
The number of cover stories for Leader Electronics depends on current market conditions and Leader Electronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leader Electronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leader Electronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Leader Electronics Short Properties
Leader Electronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Leader Electronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leader Electronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leader Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leader Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156.6 M |
Additional Tools for Leader Stock Analysis
When running Leader Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Leader Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leader Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Leader Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leader Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leader Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leader Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.