Correlation Between Municipal Bond and Government Securities

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Municipal Bond and Government Securities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Municipal Bond and Government Securities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Municipal Bond Fund and Government Securities Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Municipal Bond and Government Securities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Municipal Bond with a short position of Government Securities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Municipal Bond and Government Securities.

Diversification Opportunities for Municipal Bond and Government Securities

0.67

Correlation Coefficient

Municipal Bond  Government Securities

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Municipal and Government is 0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Municipal Bond Fund and Government Securities Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Securities and Municipal Bond is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Municipal Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with Government Securities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Municipal Bond i.e., Municipal Bond and Government Securities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Municipal Bond and Government Securities

Assuming the 90 days horizon Municipal Bond Fund is expected to generate 0.67 times more return on investment than Government Securities. However, Municipal Bond Fund is 1.49 times less risky than Government Securities. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Government Securities Fund is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  919.00  in Municipal Bond Fund on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  68.00  from holding Municipal Bond Fund or generate 7.4% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Municipal Bond Fund  vs.  Government Securities Fund

Municipal Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Municipal Bond Fund are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Municipal Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Government Securities

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Government Securities Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Municipal Bond and Government Securities

The main advantage of trading using opposite Municipal Bond and Government Securities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Municipal Bond position performs unexpectedly, Government Securities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Securities will offset losses from the drop in Government Securities' long position.

The idea behind Municipal Bond Fund and Government Securities Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.