Erste Group (Czech Republic) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ERBAG Stock  CZK 1,308  17.00  1.32%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Erste Group Bank is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Erste Group Bank given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Erste Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Erste Group Bank, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Erste Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Erste and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Erste Group Bank. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Erste Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Erste recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Erste Group Bank. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Erste Group Bank or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Erste Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Erste GroupBuy Erste Group
Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Erste Group Bank has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0876, Jensen Alpha of 0.1057, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0381, Sortino Ratio of 0.0577 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2612
Macroaxis provides advice on Erste Group Bank to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Erste Group Bank. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Erste Group is not overpriced, please confirm all Erste Group Bank fundamentals, including its book value per share, market capitalization, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and price to earnings to growth .

Erste Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Erste Group Bank has accumulated about 15.74 B in cash with (7.58 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 38.82.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Erste Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Erste Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Erste Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Erste Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Erste Group Bank price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Erste Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Erste Group.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-1.67
Potential Upside
1.83
Standard Deviation
1.32
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Erste Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Erste Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Erste Group or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Erste Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Erste stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Erste Group Volatility Alert

Erste Group Bank has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.3 and kurtosis of 3.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Erste Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Erste Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Erste Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Erste Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Erste Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Erste Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Erste Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Erste Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Erste Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Erste Group to competition
FundamentalsErste GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0079-0.14
Profit Margin0.27 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.40 %(5.51) %
Shares Outstanding407.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders24.98 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.87 %39.21 %
Price To Earning537.05 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.52 X9.51 X
Price To Sales34.97 X11.42 X
Revenue7.98 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.58 B27.38 B
Net Income788.36 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents15.74 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share38.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt41.51 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share46.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(7.58 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share110.72 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth7.63 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees45.08 K18.84 K
Beta1.64-0.15
Market Capitalization345.57 B19.03 B
Z Score4.88.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Last Dividend Paid1.6

Erste Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Erste . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Erste Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Erste Group Bank? Buying financial instruments such as Erste Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Erste Stock Analysis

When running Erste Group's price analysis, check to measure Erste Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erste Group is operating at the current time. Most of Erste Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erste Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erste Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erste Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.