Douglas Elliman Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DOUG Stock | USD 1.54 0.06 3.75% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Douglas Elliman is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Douglas Elliman buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DOUG positions.
Check out Douglas Elliman Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Elliman guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Douglas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Douglas Elliman. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
Douglas |
Execute Douglas Elliman Buy or Sell Advice
The Douglas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Douglas Elliman. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Douglas Elliman or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Douglas Elliman's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Douglas Elliman Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Douglas Elliman had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Douglas Elliman may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Douglas Elliman has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 956.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B. | |
| Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (30.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Owning 42 percent shares,institutional owners seem interested in Douglas Elliman Inc. , |
Douglas Elliman Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Douglas Elliman's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Douglas Elliman's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Douglas Elliman daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Douglas Elliman price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Douglas Elliman returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Douglas Elliman.
| Mean Return | 0.29 | Value At Risk | -7.69 | Potential Upside | 9.14 | Standard Deviation | 6.14 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Douglas Elliman historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Douglas Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 776.4 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 766.9 K | Quinn Opportunity Partners Llc | 2024-06-30 | 754.7 K | Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2024-06-30 | 748.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 677.2 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 624.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-06-30 | 604.3 K | Diversified Investment Strategies, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 522.3 K | Isomer Partners Lp | 2024-06-30 | 500 K | Clearline Capital Lp | 2024-06-30 | 4.3 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-06-30 | 3.8 M |
Douglas Elliman Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (13.1M) | 27.6M | 122.2M | (57.5M) | (41.9M) | (39.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (155K) | (63K) | (361K) | (12.5M) | (11.3M) | (10.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (502K) | 25.7M | 123.7M | (23.3M) | (36.6M) | (34.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 8.6M | 8.5M | 8.6M | 8.0M | 8.0M | 6.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 14.8M | 15.3M | 20.3M | 23.1M | 26.3M | 18.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.1M | 6.1M | 4.1M | 8.5M | 6.1M | 6.1M | |
| Net Income | 8.5M | (46.4M) | 98.7M | (6.4M) | (42.9M) | (40.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 79.1M | 106.7M | 228.9M | 171.4M | 127.0M | 147.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 8.6M | 76.5M | 5.0M | 17.8M | 20.5M | 23.9M |
Douglas Elliman Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Douglas Elliman or Real Estate Management & Development sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Douglas Elliman's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Douglas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Douglas Elliman Volatility Alert
Douglas Elliman is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Douglas Elliman's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Douglas Elliman's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Douglas Elliman Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Douglas Elliman's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Douglas Elliman's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Douglas Elliman and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Douglas Elliman or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Douglas Elliman's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Douglas Elliman by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Douglas Elliman to competition |
| Fundamentals | Douglas Elliman | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0745 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 177.77 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 91.83 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 21.41 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 42.07 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.45 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.75 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 956.32 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (53.46 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (42.86 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 204.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.52 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 132.94 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.53 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.48 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.15 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (30.41 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.36 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.76) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 809 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 141.42 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 509.45 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (47.55 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 84.03 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 509.45 M |
Note: Disposition of 268078 shares by Howard Lorber of Douglas Elliman at 2.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Douglas Elliman Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Douglas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Douglas Elliman Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Douglas Elliman? Buying financial instruments such as Douglas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Douglas Elliman Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Elliman guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Elliman. If investors know Douglas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Douglas Elliman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Earnings Share (0.76) | Revenue Per Share 11.491 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Douglas Elliman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Douglas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Douglas Elliman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Douglas Elliman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Douglas Elliman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Douglas Elliman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Douglas Elliman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Douglas Elliman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Douglas Elliman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.