BHP Group (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BHP Stock | 43.65 0.49 1.14% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BHP Group Limited is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BHP Group Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards BHP Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BHP Group Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out BHP Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BHP and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. BHP Group Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
BHP |
Execute BHP Group Buy or Sell Advice
The BHP recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BHP Group Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BHP Group Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BHP Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
BHP Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| BHP Group Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BHP Group Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Breakwater Capital Group Sells 1357 Shares of BHP Group Limited - Defense World |
BHP Group Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of BHP Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BHP Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BHP Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BHP Group Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BHP Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BHP Group.
| Mean Return | -0.01 | Value At Risk | -1.75 | Potential Upside | 1.94 | Standard Deviation | 1.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BHP Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
BHP Group Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (2.2B) | 1.8B | 2.0B | (4.8B) | (4.3B) | (4.1B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 8.1B | 21.4B | 26.1B | 11.6B | 13.4B | 14.0B | |
| Depreciation | 6.1B | 5.1B | 5.6B | 5.1B | 5.8B | 3.8B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.0B | 23.6B | 19.5B | 11.2B | 12.9B | 13.6B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 7.6B | 5.8B | 6.1B | 7.1B | 8.1B | 6.3B | |
| Net Income | 8.0B | 11.5B | 20.2B | 12.9B | 14.9B | 8.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 13.4B | 15.2B | 17.2B | 12.4B | 14.3B | 15.0B | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.9B | 7.9B | 17.9B | 13.3B | 15.3B | 16.0B | |
| Change To Inventory | (715M) | (405M) | (865M) | (44M) | (39.6M) | (41.6M) | |
| Investments | (618M) | (578M) | (266M) | (13.1B) | (11.8B) | (11.2B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (2.4B) | (1.5B) | (7.8B) | (2.2B) | (2.0B) | (2.1B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.3B | 1.6B | 10.5B | (3.3B) | (3.0B) | (2.8B) |
BHP Group Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BHP Group or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BHP Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BHP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
BHP Group Volatility Alert
BHP Group Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.74 and kurtosis of 2.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BHP Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BHP Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.BHP Group Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing BHP Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BHP Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BHP Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BHP Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BHP Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BHP Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare BHP Group to competition |
| Fundamentals | BHP Group | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.39 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 236.9 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.07 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.79 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 48.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 3.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.14 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 53.82 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 43.23 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 27.12 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 12.92 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.22 B | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 22.34 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.17 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 18.7 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.19 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 46.52 | |
| Number Of Employees | 49.09 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.88 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 218.89 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 101.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 41.23 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.31 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Net Asset | 101.3 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.52 |
BHP Group Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BHP . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 53948.27 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.042553 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.48 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.49 |
About BHP Group Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell BHP Group Limited? Buying financial instruments such as BHP Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Gross Profit | 39.7B | 27.7B | 31.8B | 17.1B | Total Revenue | 65.1B | 53.8B | 61.9B | 35.3B |
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Additional Tools for BHP Stock Analysis
When running BHP Group's price analysis, check to measure BHP Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BHP Group is operating at the current time. Most of BHP Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BHP Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BHP Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BHP Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.