American Superconductor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AMSC Stock | USD 32.37 1.31 3.89% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Superconductor is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Superconductor buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMSC positions.
Check out American Superconductor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Superconductor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
American |
Execute American Superconductor Buy or Sell Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Superconductor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Superconductor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Superconductor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
American Superconductor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Superconductor is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Superconductor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 145.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.09 M. | |
| American Superconductor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: American Superconductor Corp Trading Down 2.43 percent on Nov 27 |
American Superconductor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Superconductor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Superconductor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Superconductor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Superconductor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Superconductor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Superconductor.
| Mean Return | 0.87 | Value At Risk | -6.53 | Potential Upside | 13.41 | Standard Deviation | 6.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Superconductor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Oberweis Asset Management Inc | 2024-06-30 | 664.4 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 607.9 K | Telemark Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 600 K | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 522.9 K | Essex Investment Management Company, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 464.5 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 374.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 362.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 304.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 301 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M |
American Superconductor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (47.3M) | 44.7M | (26.1M) | (23.8M) | 66.6M | 69.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (21.1M) | (10.4M) | (19.9M) | (23.7M) | 1.2M | 1.3M | |
| Depreciation | 4.3M | 5.4M | 5.3M | 5.4M | 4.5M | 8.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (3.7M) | 5.4M | (3.7M) | 3.8M | 6.9M | 7.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.6M | 1.8M | 938K | 1.2M | 934K | 887.3K | |
| Net Income | (17.1M) | (22.7M) | (19.2M) | (35.0M) | (11.1M) | (11.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 30.9M | 75.5M | 49.5M | 25.7M | 92.3M | 48.3M | |
| Change To Inventory | (8.1M) | 8.1M | (3.3M) | (14.8M) | (6.8M) | (6.5M) | |
| Investments | (35M) | 2.5M | 5.2M | (1.5M) | (961K) | (913.0K) | |
| Change Receivables | 1.1M | (529K) | (9.2M) | (3.8M) | (3.4M) | (3.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.7M | (3.2M) | 1.8M | (1.4M) | (1.3M) | (1.2M) |
American Superconductor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Superconductor or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Superconductor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
American Superconductor Volatility Alert
American Superconductor is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Superconductor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Superconductor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Superconductor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Superconductor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Superconductor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Superconductor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Superconductor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Superconductor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Superconductor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Superconductor to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Superconductor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0066 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0082 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.21 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.45 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 71.23 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.87 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 273.04 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.11 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 145.64 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 14.09 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.97 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (11.11 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 33.35 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.17 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.71 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.52 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.74 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.14 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.80 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.03) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.06) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 30.33 | |
| Number Of Employees | 337 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.14 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.28 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 232.77 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.07 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 87.66 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by John Kosiba of 125000 shares of American Superconductor subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Superconductor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About American Superconductor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Superconductor? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out American Superconductor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade American Stock refer to our How to Trade American Stock guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Superconductor. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Superconductor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.03) | Revenue Per Share 5.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.602 | Return On Assets 0.0082 | Return On Equity (0.01) |
The market value of American Superconductor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Superconductor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Superconductor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Superconductor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Superconductor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Superconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Superconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Superconductor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.