Samsung Electronics (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1238.00

SMSD Stock   1,238  52.00  4.38%   
Samsung Electronics' future price is the expected price of Samsung Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Samsung Electronics Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Samsung Electronics Backtesting, Samsung Electronics Valuation, Samsung Electronics Correlation, Samsung Electronics Hype Analysis, Samsung Electronics Volatility, Samsung Electronics History as well as Samsung Electronics Performance.
  
Please specify Samsung Electronics' target price for which you would like Samsung Electronics odds to be computed.

Samsung Electronics Target Price Odds to finish over 1238.00

The tendency of Samsung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1,238 90 days 1,238 
about 9.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Samsung Electronics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.38 (This Samsung Electronics Co probability density function shows the probability of Samsung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Samsung Electronics Co has a beta of -0.0734. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Samsung Electronics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Samsung Electronics Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Samsung Electronics Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Samsung Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Samsung Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Samsung Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Samsung Electronics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2361,2381,240
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0461,0481,362
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2111,2131,214
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0951,1511,207
Details

Samsung Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Samsung Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Samsung Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Samsung Electronics Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Samsung Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
46.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Samsung Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Samsung Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Samsung Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samsung Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think Samsung Electronics Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt - Simply Wall St

Samsung Electronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Samsung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Samsung Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Samsung Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding271.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments92.4 T

Samsung Electronics Technical Analysis

Samsung Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Samsung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Samsung Electronics Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Samsung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Samsung Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Samsung Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Samsung Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Samsung Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Samsung Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Samsung Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Samsung Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Samsung Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think Samsung Electronics Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for Samsung Stock Analysis

When running Samsung Electronics' price analysis, check to measure Samsung Electronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Samsung Electronics is operating at the current time. Most of Samsung Electronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Samsung Electronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Samsung Electronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Samsung Electronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.