Martin Marietta (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 560.80

MMX Stock  EUR 560.80  3.00  0.53%   
Martin Marietta's future price is the expected price of Martin Marietta instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Martin Marietta Materials performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Martin Marietta Backtesting, Martin Marietta Valuation, Martin Marietta Correlation, Martin Marietta Hype Analysis, Martin Marietta Volatility, Martin Marietta History as well as Martin Marietta Performance.
  
Please specify Martin Marietta's target price for which you would like Martin Marietta odds to be computed.

Martin Marietta Target Price Odds to finish over 560.80

The tendency of Martin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 560.80 90 days 560.80 
about 14.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Martin Marietta to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.27 (This Martin Marietta Materials probability density function shows the probability of Martin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Martin Marietta has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Martin Marietta average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Martin Marietta Materials will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Martin Marietta Materials has an alpha of 0.2289, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Martin Marietta Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Martin Marietta

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Martin Marietta Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
561.94563.80565.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
507.42665.28667.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
575.43577.28579.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
554.54562.65570.77
Details

Martin Marietta Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Martin Marietta is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Martin Marietta's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Martin Marietta Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Martin Marietta within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
42.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Martin Marietta Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Martin Marietta for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Martin Marietta Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Martin Marietta has accumulated €4.34 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Martin Marietta Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Martin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Martin Marietta's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Martin Marietta's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M

Martin Marietta Technical Analysis

Martin Marietta's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Martin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Martin Marietta Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Martin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Martin Marietta Predictive Forecast Models

Martin Marietta's time-series forecasting models is one of many Martin Marietta's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Martin Marietta's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Martin Marietta Materials

Checking the ongoing alerts about Martin Marietta for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Martin Marietta Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Martin Marietta has accumulated €4.34 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Martin Stock

When determining whether Martin Marietta Materials is a strong investment it is important to analyze Martin Marietta's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Martin Marietta's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Martin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Martin Marietta Backtesting, Martin Marietta Valuation, Martin Marietta Correlation, Martin Marietta Hype Analysis, Martin Marietta Volatility, Martin Marietta History as well as Martin Marietta Performance.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Martin Marietta's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Martin Marietta is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Martin Marietta's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.