Telecom Italia (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.29
| 0GA3 Stock | 0.29 0.01 3.57% |
Telecom |
Telecom Italia Target Price Odds to finish over 0.29
The tendency of Telecom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.29 | 90 days | 0.29 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telecom Italia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Telecom Italia SpA probability density function shows the probability of Telecom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Telecom Italia has a beta of 1.0. This suggests Telecom Italia SpA market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Telecom Italia is expected to follow. Additionally Telecom Italia SpA has an alpha of 0.1534, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Telecom Italia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telecom Italia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telecom Italia SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telecom Italia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Telecom Italia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telecom Italia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telecom Italia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telecom Italia SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telecom Italia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Telecom Italia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telecom Italia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telecom Italia SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telecom Italia SpA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Telecom Italia SpA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.92 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.37 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lists up tentatively traders await data - Marketscreener.com |
Telecom Italia Technical Analysis
Telecom Italia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telecom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telecom Italia SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telecom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telecom Italia Predictive Forecast Models
Telecom Italia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telecom Italia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telecom Italia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telecom Italia SpA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telecom Italia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telecom Italia SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telecom Italia SpA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Telecom Italia SpA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 16.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.92 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.37 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lists up tentatively traders await data - Marketscreener.com |
Additional Tools for Telecom Stock Analysis
When running Telecom Italia's price analysis, check to measure Telecom Italia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telecom Italia is operating at the current time. Most of Telecom Italia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telecom Italia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telecom Italia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telecom Italia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.