Vitrolife Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

VITR Stock  SEK 255.00  3.40  1.35%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vitrolife AB on the next trading day is expected to be 246.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 513.56. Vitrolife Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Vitrolife is based on an artificially constructed time series of Vitrolife daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Vitrolife 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of October

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Vitrolife AB on the next trading day is expected to be 246.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.69, mean absolute percentage error of 172.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 513.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vitrolife Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vitrolife's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vitrolife Stock Forecast Pattern

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Vitrolife Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vitrolife's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vitrolife's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 242.71 and 250.74, respectively. We have considered Vitrolife's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
255.00
242.71
Downside
246.72
Expected Value
250.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vitrolife stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vitrolife stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.5555
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -5.0502
MADMean absolute deviation9.6899
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0412
SAESum of the absolute errors513.5625
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Vitrolife AB 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Vitrolife

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vitrolife AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vitrolife's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
250.98255.00259.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
194.33198.34280.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
229.05247.16265.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vitrolife

For every potential investor in Vitrolife, whether a beginner or expert, Vitrolife's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vitrolife Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vitrolife. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vitrolife's price trends.

Vitrolife Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vitrolife stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vitrolife could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vitrolife by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vitrolife AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vitrolife's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vitrolife's current price.

Vitrolife Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vitrolife stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vitrolife shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vitrolife stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vitrolife AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vitrolife Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vitrolife's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vitrolife's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vitrolife stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Vitrolife Stock Analysis

When running Vitrolife's price analysis, check to measure Vitrolife's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vitrolife is operating at the current time. Most of Vitrolife's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vitrolife's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vitrolife's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vitrolife to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.