Sirius Real Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

SRE Stock   88.45  1.65  1.90%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sirius Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 86.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.88. Sirius Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sirius Real stock prices and determine the direction of Sirius Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sirius Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Sirius Real's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 102.7 M, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 421.1 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Sirius Real is based on an artificially constructed time series of Sirius Real daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sirius Real 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sirius Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 86.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68, mean absolute percentage error of 4.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sirius Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sirius Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sirius Real Stock Forecast Pattern

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Sirius Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sirius Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sirius Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.39 and 88.08, respectively. We have considered Sirius Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88.45
86.74
Expected Value
88.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sirius Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sirius Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.7246
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0763
MADMean absolute deviation1.683
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors90.8813
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sirius Real Estate 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sirius Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sirius Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.5186.8388.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.4886.8088.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
85.4786.6287.76
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Sirius Real

For every potential investor in Sirius, whether a beginner or expert, Sirius Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sirius Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sirius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sirius Real's price trends.

Sirius Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sirius Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sirius Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sirius Real Estate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sirius Real's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sirius Real's current price.

Sirius Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sirius Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sirius Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sirius Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sirius Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sirius Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sirius Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sirius Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sirius stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sirius Stock

Sirius Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sirius Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sirius with respect to the benefits of owning Sirius Real security.