Rithm Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RITM Stock | USD 10.54 0.11 1.03% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rithm Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89. Rithm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Rithm Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rithm Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rithm Capital fundamentals over time.
Rithm |
Cash | First Reported 2013-06-30 | Previous Quarter 1.3 B | Current Value 1.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 494.3 M |
Rithm Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of July
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rithm Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rithm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rithm Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rithm Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rithm Capital | Rithm Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rithm Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rithm Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rithm Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.37 and 11.27, respectively. We have considered Rithm Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rithm Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rithm Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8526 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0966 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.009 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.8936 |
Predictive Modules for Rithm Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rithm Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rithm Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Rithm Capital
For every potential investor in Rithm, whether a beginner or expert, Rithm Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rithm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rithm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rithm Capital's price trends.Rithm Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rithm Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rithm Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rithm Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rithm Capital Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rithm Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rithm Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rithm Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rithm Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rithm Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rithm Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rithm Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.54 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.11) |
Rithm Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rithm Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rithm Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rithm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7796 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9613 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9551 | |||
| Variance | 0.9122 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9821 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9241 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectAdditional Information and Resources on Investing in Rithm Stock
When determining whether Rithm Capital Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rithm Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rithm Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rithm Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rithm Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rithm Capital. If investors know Rithm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rithm Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.857 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 1.5 | Revenue Per Share 6.526 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.666 |
The market value of Rithm Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rithm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rithm Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rithm Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rithm Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rithm Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rithm Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rithm Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rithm Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.