Gulf Coast Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GULTU Stock  USD 0.03  0  6.45%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gulf Coast on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09. Gulf Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Gulf Coast - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Gulf Coast prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Gulf Coast price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Gulf Coast.

Gulf Coast Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gulf Coast on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000546, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gulf Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gulf Coast's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gulf Coast Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Gulf Coast Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gulf Coast's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gulf Coast's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 9.28, respectively. We have considered Gulf Coast's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
9.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gulf Coast pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gulf Coast pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0014
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0691
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0851
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Gulf Coast observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Gulf Coast observations.

Predictive Modules for Gulf Coast

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Coast. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Coast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.039.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.039.36
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gulf Coast

For every potential investor in Gulf, whether a beginner or expert, Gulf Coast's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gulf Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gulf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gulf Coast's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gulf Coast Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gulf Coast's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gulf Coast's current price.

Gulf Coast Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gulf Coast pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gulf Coast shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gulf Coast pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gulf Coast entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gulf Coast Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gulf Coast's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gulf Coast's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gulf pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Gulf Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Gulf Coast's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Coast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Coast is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Coast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Coast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Coast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Coast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.