Farmers Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Farmers Bancorp simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Farmers Bancorp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Farmers Bancorp prices get older.

Farmers Bancorp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Farmers Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.18.

Farmers Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Farmers Bancorp Price Prediction

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Farmers Bancorp Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Farmers Bancorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Farmers Bancorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Farmers Bancorp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Farmers Bancorp observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Farmers Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 36.66 38.00 39.34 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 29.35 30.69 41.80 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmers Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmers Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmers Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmers Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for Farmers Bancorp

For every potential investor in Farmers, whether a beginner or expert, Farmers Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Farmers Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Farmers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Farmers Bancorp's price trends.

Farmers Bancorp Related Equities

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Correlation

Farmers Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Farmers Bancorp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Farmers Bancorp's current price.

Farmers Bancorp Market Strength Events

Farmers Bancorp Risk Indicators

Pair Trading with Farmers Bancorp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Farmers Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Farmers Bancorp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Additional Tools for Farmers Pink Sheet Analysis