Bank Negara Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Bank Negara works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Bank Negara Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank Negara Indonesia on the next trading day is expected to be 4,992 with a mean absolute deviation of 74.45, mean absolute percentage error of 9,818, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,392.

Bank Negara Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bank Negara

Bank Negara Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Bank Negara Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank Negara stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank Negara stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Bank Negara Indonesia prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Bank Negara Indonesia trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Bank Negara observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Bank Negara

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Negara Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 4,978 4,980 4,982 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 4,304 4,306 5,478 Details

Other Forecasting Options for Bank Negara

For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank Negara's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank Negara's price trends.

Bank Negara Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Bank Negara Indonesia Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bank Negara's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bank Negara's current price.

Bank Negara Market Strength Events

Bank Negara Risk Indicators

Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock