New Best Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| 5013 Stock | TWD 34.15 0.10 0.29% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of New Best Wire on the next trading day is expected to be 34.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.02. New Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
New |
New Best 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of July
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of New Best Wire on the next trading day is expected to be 34.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New Best's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
New Best Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest New Best | New Best Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
New Best Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting New Best's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. New Best's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.52 and 34.81, respectively. We have considered New Best's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New Best stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New Best stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 100.9572 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0353 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2456 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.0187 |
Predictive Modules for New Best
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Best Wire. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Best's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for New Best
For every potential investor in New, whether a beginner or expert, New Best's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. New Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in New. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying New Best's price trends.New Best Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with New Best stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of New Best could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Best by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
New Best Wire Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of New Best's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of New Best's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
New Best Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New Best stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New Best shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New Best stock market strength indicators, traders can identify New Best Wire entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1606.44 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0645 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 34.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.73) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.1 |
New Best Risk Indicators
The analysis of New Best's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in New Best's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting new stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4377 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5773 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6402 | |||
| Variance | 0.4099 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6192 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3333 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with New Best
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if New Best position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in New Best will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against New Stock
| 0.41 | 0053 | YuantaP shares Taiwan | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | 6582 | Shin Foong Specialty | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | 0050 | YuantaP shares Taiwan | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | 0057 | Fubon MSCI Taiwan | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | 8467 | Bonny Worldwide | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to New Best could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace New Best when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back New Best - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling New Best Wire to buy it.
The correlation of New Best is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as New Best moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if New Best Wire moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for New Best can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Best's price analysis, check to measure New Best's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Best is operating at the current time. Most of New Best's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Best's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Best's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Best to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.