Planet Fitness Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

0KJD Stock   80.43  2.13  2.58%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Fitness Cl on the next trading day is expected to be 82.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.67. Planet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Planet Fitness' Property Plant And Equipment Net is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Current Deferred Revenue is likely to gain to about 62.6 M in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 1.4 B in 2024.
A naive forecasting model for Planet Fitness is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Planet Fitness Cl value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Planet Fitness Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of September

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Planet Fitness Cl on the next trading day is expected to be 82.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21, mean absolute percentage error of 2.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Planet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Planet Fitness' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Planet Fitness Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Planet FitnessPlanet Fitness Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Planet Fitness Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Planet Fitness' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Planet Fitness' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.56 and 84.43, respectively. We have considered Planet Fitness' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
80.43
82.49
Expected Value
84.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Planet Fitness stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Planet Fitness stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.038
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2078
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors73.6736
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Planet Fitness Cl. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Planet Fitness. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Planet Fitness

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Planet Fitness Cl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Planet Fitness' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.2681.1983.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.3987.3189.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
77.2580.7984.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Planet Fitness

For every potential investor in Planet, whether a beginner or expert, Planet Fitness' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Planet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Planet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Planet Fitness' price trends.

Planet Fitness Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Planet Fitness stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Planet Fitness could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Planet Fitness by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Planet Fitness Cl Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Planet Fitness' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Planet Fitness' current price.

Planet Fitness Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Planet Fitness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Planet Fitness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Planet Fitness stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Planet Fitness Cl entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Planet Fitness Risk Indicators

The analysis of Planet Fitness' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Planet Fitness' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting planet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Planet Stock Analysis

When running Planet Fitness' price analysis, check to measure Planet Fitness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Planet Fitness is operating at the current time. Most of Planet Fitness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Planet Fitness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Planet Fitness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Planet Fitness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.