Wonbang Tech Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

053080 Stock   16,040  310.00  1.97%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wonbang Tech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 16,040 with a mean absolute deviation of 527.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,640. Wonbang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Wonbang Tech stock prices and determine the direction of Wonbang Tech Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wonbang Tech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Wonbang Tech simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Wonbang Tech Co are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Wonbang Tech prices get older.

Wonbang Tech Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of October

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wonbang Tech Co on the next trading day is expected to be 16,040 with a mean absolute deviation of 527.33, mean absolute percentage error of 573,363, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31,640.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wonbang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wonbang Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wonbang Tech Stock Forecast Pattern

Wonbang Tech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wonbang Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wonbang Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16,035 and 16,045, respectively. We have considered Wonbang Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16,040
16,035
Downside
16,040
Expected Value
16,045
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wonbang Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wonbang Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria129.5319
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 15.0
MADMean absolute deviation527.3333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0332
SAESum of the absolute errors31640.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Wonbang Tech Co forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Wonbang Tech observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Wonbang Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wonbang Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wonbang Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,03516,04016,045
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,29013,29517,644
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14,43916,67818,918
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wonbang Tech. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wonbang Tech's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wonbang Tech's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wonbang Tech.

Other Forecasting Options for Wonbang Tech

For every potential investor in Wonbang, whether a beginner or expert, Wonbang Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wonbang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wonbang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wonbang Tech's price trends.

Wonbang Tech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wonbang Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wonbang Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wonbang Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wonbang Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wonbang Tech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wonbang Tech's current price.

Wonbang Tech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wonbang Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wonbang Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wonbang Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wonbang Tech Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wonbang Tech Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wonbang Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wonbang Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wonbang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Wonbang Tech

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Wonbang Tech position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Wonbang Tech will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Wonbang Tech could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Wonbang Tech when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Wonbang Tech - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Wonbang Tech Co to buy it.
The correlation of Wonbang Tech is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Wonbang Tech moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Wonbang Tech moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Wonbang Tech can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Wonbang Stock

Wonbang Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wonbang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wonbang with respect to the benefits of owning Wonbang Tech security.