Spirit Airlines Stock Volatility
| SAVE Stock | USD 3.54 0.14 3.80% |
Spirit Airlines owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.2, which indicates the firm had a -0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Spirit Airlines exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Spirit Airlines' Coefficient Of Variation of (476.31), risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Variance of 19.56 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Spirit Airlines' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Spirit Airlines Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Spirit daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Spirit's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Spirit Airlines volatility.
Spirit |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Spirit Airlines can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Spirit Airlines at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Spirit stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Spirit Airlines' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Spirit Stock
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| 0.92 | BA | Boeing Financial Report 24th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Spirit Stock
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| 0.89 | DY | Dycom Industries Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
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| 0.87 | BV | BrightView Holdings Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | CR | Crane Company Financial Report 8th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
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| 0.82 | EH | Ehang Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | GD | General Dynamics Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Spirit Airlines Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Spirit Airlines' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Spirit stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Spirit stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Spirit Airlines's beta of 2.24 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Spirit Airlines stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Spirit Airlines exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.17 and kurtosis of 1.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Spirit Airlines' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Spirit Airlines' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Spirit Airlines Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Spirit Airlines correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Spirit Beta |
Spirit standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 4.12 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Spirit Airlines's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Spirit Airlines' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in spirit stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Spirit Airlines.
Using Spirit Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Spirit Airlines grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Spirit Airlines at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Spirit Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Spirit Airlines' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Spirit Airlines will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Spirit Airlines' PUT expiring on 2024-05-03
Profit |
| Spirit Airlines Price At Expiration |
Current Spirit Airlines Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $3.0 | -0.1312 | 0.3764 | 320 | 2024-05-03 | 0.02 - 0.05 | 0.04 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $3.5 | -0.4371 | 0.8656 | 811 | 2024-05-03 | 0.16 - 0.17 | 0.16 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $4.0 | -0.7759 | 0.5792 | 241 | 2024-05-03 | 0.46 - 0.56 | 0.52 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $4.5 | -0.8683 | 0.3072 | 306 | 2024-05-03 | 0.97 - 1.01 | 1.0 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $5.0 | -0.891 | 0.2085 | 140 | 2024-05-03 | 1.2 - 1.71 | 1.5 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $5.5 | -0.8764 | 0.1739 | 1 | 2024-05-03 | 1.9 - 2.14 | 1.54 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $6.0 | -0.9127 | 0.1306 | 10 | 2024-05-03 | 2.37 - 2.5 | 2.21 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $6.5 | -0.6766 | 0.1381 | 1 | 2024-05-03 | 2.84 - 3.85 | 3.05 | View |
Put | 2024-05-03 PUT at $7.0 | -0.9238 | 0.0977 | 11 | 2024-05-03 | 3.4 - 3.5 | 2.81 | View |
Spirit Airlines Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Spirit Airlines stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Spirit Airlines' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Spirit Airlines' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Spirit Airlines' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Spirit Airlines' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Spirit Airlines' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Spirit Airlines' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Spirit Airlines' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Spirit Airlines Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Spirit Airlines Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.2413 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Spirit Airlines will likely underperform.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Spirit Airlines or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Spirit Airlines' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Spirit stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Spirit Airlines has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Spirit Airlines Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Spirit Airlines Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Spirit Airlines is -499.71. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 16.99 and standard deviation of 4.12. The mean deviation of Spirit Airlines is currently at 2.96. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Spirit Airlines Stock Return Volatility
Spirit Airlines historical daily return volatility represents how much of Spirit Airlines stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 4.1222% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6294% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Spirit Airlines Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Spirit Airlines or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Spirit Airlines may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Spirit's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Spirit Airlines and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Spirit Airlines fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 190.9 M | 105.7 M | |
| Market Cap | 3 B | 3.1 B |
Spirit Airlines' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Spirit Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Spirit Airlines' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Spirit Airlines' volatility to invest better
Higher Spirit Airlines' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Spirit Airlines stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Spirit Airlines stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Spirit Airlines investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Spirit Airlines' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Spirit Airlines' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Spirit Airlines Investment Opportunity
Spirit Airlines has a volatility of 4.12 and is 6.54 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Spirit Airlines is lower than 36 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Spirit Airlines to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Spirit Airlines to be traded at $3.4 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between Spirit Airlines and NYA is 0.32 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Spirit Airlines and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Spirit Airlines Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Spirit Airlines' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Spirit Airlines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Spirit Airlines stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.41) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.19 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (476.31) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Variance | 19.56 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Spirit Airlines Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Spirit Airlines as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Spirit Airlines' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Spirit Airlines' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Spirit Airlines.
When determining whether Spirit Airlines is a strong investment it is important to analyze Spirit Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Spirit Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Spirit Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Spirit Airlines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. For information on how to trade Spirit Stock refer to our How to Trade Spirit Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Spirit Stock analysis
When running Spirit Airlines' price analysis, check to measure Spirit Airlines' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spirit Airlines is operating at the current time. Most of Spirit Airlines' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spirit Airlines' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spirit Airlines' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spirit Airlines to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Spirit Airlines' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spirit Airlines. If investors know Spirit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Spirit Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Earnings Share (4.10) | Revenue Per Share 49.129 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Spirit Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spirit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spirit Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spirit Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spirit Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spirit Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spirit Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spirit Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spirit Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.