National Western Life Stock Volatility
| NWLI Stock | USD 488.90 0.70 0.14% |
We consider National Western very steady. National Western Life has Sharpe Ratio of 0.1, which conveys that the firm had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for National Western, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify National Western's Downside Deviation of 0.1882, mean deviation of 0.121, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0254 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.018%. Key indicators related to National Western's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
National Western Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of National daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use National's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of National Western volatility.
National |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as National Western can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of National Western at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase National stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of National Western's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with National Stock
| 0.64 | MET-PA | MetLife Preferred Stock | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | AEL | American Equity Inve Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against National Stock
| 0.79 | CIA | Citizens | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | FLFG | Federal Life Group | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | GL | Globe Life Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | MET-PE | MetLife Preferred Stock | PairCorr |
National Western Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
National Western's beta coefficient measures the volatility of National stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents National stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, National Western's beta of 0.0778 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk National Western stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. National Western Life exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.17 and kurtosis of 2.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Western's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Western's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze National Western Life Demand TrendCheck current 90 days National Western correlation with market (NYSE Composite)National Beta |
National standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.18 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by National Western's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of National Western's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in national stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in National Western.
National Western Life Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which National Western stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with National Western's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of National Western's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of National Western's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures National Western's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict National Western's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for National Western's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on National Western's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. National Western Life Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
National Western Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days National Western has a beta of 0.0778 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, National Western average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding National Western Life will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Western or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Western's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
National Western Life has an alpha of 6.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 6.0E-4 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a National Western Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.National Western Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of National Western is 986.23. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.03 and standard deviation of 0.18. The mean deviation of National Western Life is currently at 0.12. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.64
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.0006 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
National Western Stock Return Volatility
National Western historical daily return volatility represents how much of National Western stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.1779% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6266% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About National Western Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of National Western or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of National Western may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to National's beta indicator, it measures the risk of National Western and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of National Western fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 12.3 M | 12.1 M | |
| Market Cap | 729 M | 765.5 M |
National Western's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on National Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much National Western's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize National Western's volatility to invest better
Higher National Western's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of National Western Life stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. National Western Life stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of National Western Life investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in National Western's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of National Western's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
National Western Investment Opportunity
NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.63 and is 3.5 times more volatile than National Western Life. 1 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than National Western. You can use National Western Life to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of National Western to be traded at $513.35 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between National Western Life and NYA is 0.29 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding National Western Life and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
National Western Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of National Western's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Western's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of National Western stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0254 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0635 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.121 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1302 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.1882 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1229.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.174 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
National Western Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against National Western as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. National Western's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, National Western's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to National Western Life.
When determining whether National Western Life offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Western's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Western Life Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Western Life Stock: Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Western Life. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Western's price analysis, check to measure National Western's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Western is operating at the current time. Most of National Western's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Western's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Western's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Western to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Western's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Western. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Western listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.839 | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 26.71 | Revenue Per Share 193.441 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.288 |
The market value of National Western Life is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Western's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Western's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Western's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Western's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Western's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Western is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Western's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.