Neste Oil (Finland) Volatility
| NESTE Stock | EUR 22.18 0.34 1.51% |
Neste Oil Oyj has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the firm had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Neste Oil exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Neste Oil's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), mean deviation of 1.72, and Standard Deviation of 2.81 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Neste Oil's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 360 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Neste Oil Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Neste daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Neste's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Neste Oil volatility.
Neste |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Neste Oil can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Neste Oil at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Neste stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Neste Oil's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Neste Stock
Neste Oil Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Neste Oil's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Neste stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Neste stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Neste Oil's beta of 0.0663 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Neste Oil stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Neste Oil Oyj exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.05 and kurtosis of 9.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Neste Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Neste Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Neste Oil Oyj Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Neste Oil correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Neste Beta |
Neste standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.5 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Neste Oil's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Neste Oil's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in neste stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Neste Oil.
Neste Oil Oyj Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Neste Oil stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Neste Oil's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Neste Oil's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Neste Oil's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Neste Oil's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Neste Oil's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Neste Oil's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Neste Oil's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Neste Oil Oyj Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Neste Oil Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Neste Oil has a beta of 0.0663 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Neste Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Neste Oil Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Neste Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Neste Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Neste stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Neste Oil Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Neste Oil Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Neste Oil Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Neste Oil is -945.37. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.25 and standard deviation of 2.5. The mean deviation of Neste Oil Oyj is currently at 1.58. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Neste Oil Stock Return Volatility
Neste Oil historical daily return volatility represents how much of Neste Oil stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.4991% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5776% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Neste Oil Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Neste Oil or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Neste Oil may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Neste's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Neste Oil and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Neste Oil fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Neste Oyj provides renewable and oil products in Finland and other Nordic countries, Baltic Rim, other European countries, North and South America, and internationally. Neste Oyj was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland. Neste operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in Finland and is traded on Helsinki Exchange. It employs 6003 people.
Neste Oil's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Neste Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Neste Oil's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Neste Oil's volatility to invest better
Higher Neste Oil's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Neste Oil Oyj stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Neste Oil Oyj stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Neste Oil Oyj investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Neste Oil's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Neste Oil's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Neste Oil Investment Opportunity
Neste Oil Oyj has a volatility of 2.5 and is 4.31 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Neste Oil. You can use Neste Oil Oyj to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Neste Oil to be traded at €21.51 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Neste Oil Oyj and NYA is 0.01 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Neste Oil Oyj and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Neste Oil Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Neste Oil's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neste Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Neste Oil stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.09) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (6.98) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (619.17) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Variance | 7.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Neste Oil Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Neste Oil as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Neste Oil's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Neste Oil's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Neste Oil Oyj.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Neste Oil Oyj. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. Note that the Neste Oil Oyj information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Neste Oil's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Neste Stock analysis
When running Neste Oil's price analysis, check to measure Neste Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neste Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Neste Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neste Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neste Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neste Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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