Avalonbay Communities Stock Analysis

AVB Stock  USD 191.45  0.13  0.07%   
AvalonBay Communities is overvalued with Real Value of 160.82 and Target Price of 197.05. The main objective of AvalonBay Communities stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what AvalonBay Communities is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of AvalonBay Communities' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect AvalonBay Communities' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of AvalonBay Communities' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The AvalonBay Communities stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. AvalonBay Communities is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. AvalonBay Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and AvalonBay Communities' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AvalonBay Communities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For information on how to trade AvalonBay Stock refer to our How to Trade AvalonBay Stock guide.

AvalonBay Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AvalonBay Communities was presently reported as 83.07. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.56. AvalonBay Communities last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The entity had 8:9 split on the 7th of January 2013. As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New YorkNew Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Companys expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado . Avalonbay Communities operates under REITResidential classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 28 people. For more info on AvalonBay Communities please contact Timothy Naughton at 703 329 6300 or go to https://www.avalonbay.com.

AvalonBay Communities Quarterly Total Revenue

704.71 Million

AvalonBay Communities Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. AvalonBay Communities' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding AvalonBay Communities or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 15th of April 2024 AvalonBay Communities paid $ 1.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AvalonBay Q1 FFO Revenues Beat Estimates, View Raised

AvalonBay Communities Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by AvalonBay Communities to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to AvalonBay Communities previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
31st of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

AvalonBay Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact AvalonBay Communities' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2011-02-02
2010-12-310.280.310.0310 
2013-10-23
2013-09-30-0.13-0.080.0538 
2009-02-04
2008-12-31-0.08-0.020.0675 
View All Earnings Estimates

AvalonBay Communities Thematic Classifications

In addition to having AvalonBay Communities stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Millennials Best Idea
Millennials Best
Firms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials
FinTech Idea
FinTech
A collection of large financial service, investment, and banking companies

AvalonBay Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AvalonBay Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AvalonBay Communities backward and forwards among themselves. AvalonBay Communities' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AvalonBay Communities' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
2.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
1.9 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board2023-12-31
1.7 M
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
1.7 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2023-12-31
1.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
22.6 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
16.3 M
Note, although AvalonBay Communities' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

AvalonBay Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 27.22 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate AvalonBay Communities's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by AvalonBay Communities's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

AvalonBay Profitablity

AvalonBay Communities' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase AvalonBay Communities' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, AvalonBay Communities is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, AvalonBay Communities' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of AvalonBay Communities' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.33 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.32 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.32 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.06 

Management Efficiency

AvalonBay Communities has Return on Asset of 0.0273 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0273 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0806 %, implying that it generated $0.0806 on every 100 dollars invested. AvalonBay Communities' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AvalonBay Communities manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.03. At present, AvalonBay Communities' Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Assets is expected to grow to about 21.2 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 10.9 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 83.39  87.56 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 83.40  87.57 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 20.01  15.89 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.25  1.61 
Enterprise Value Multiple 20.01  15.89 
Price Fair Value 2.25  1.61 
Enterprise Value34.1 B35.8 B
The analysis of AvalonBay Communities' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze AvalonBay Communities' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of AvalonBay Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0355
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0355
Forward Dividend Rate
6.8
Beta
0.933

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of April, AvalonBay Communities shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0806, and Mean Deviation of 0.9327. AvalonBay Communities technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for nineteen technical drivers for AvalonBay Communities, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm AvalonBay Communities jensen alpha, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk to decide if AvalonBay Communities is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 191.45 per share. Given that AvalonBay Communities has jensen alpha of 0.06, we suggest you to validate AvalonBay Communities's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

AvalonBay Communities Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. AvalonBay Communities middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for AvalonBay Communities. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

AvalonBay Communities Outstanding Bonds

AvalonBay Communities issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. AvalonBay Communities uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most AvalonBay bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AvalonBay Communities has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

AvalonBay Communities Predictive Daily Indicators

AvalonBay Communities intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AvalonBay Communities stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

AvalonBay Communities Corporate Filings

8K
26th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
12th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
28th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
18th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
23rd of February 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify

AvalonBay Communities Forecast Models

AvalonBay Communities' time-series forecasting models are one of many AvalonBay Communities' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary AvalonBay Communities' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About AvalonBay Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how AvalonBay Communities prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling AvalonBay shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as AvalonBay Communities. By using and applying AvalonBay Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying AvalonBay entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.33  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.31  0.45 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.29 
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.70 

Current AvalonBay Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. AvalonBay analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AvalonBay analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
197.05Buy23Odds
AvalonBay Communities current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most AvalonBay analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand AvalonBay stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of AvalonBay Communities, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to AvalonBay conference calls.
AvalonBay Analyst Advice Details

AvalonBay Stock Analysis Indicators

AvalonBay Communities stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how AvalonBay Communities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading AvalonBay Communities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying AvalonBay Communities stock analysis, traders can identify AvalonBay Communities position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow734.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity11.8 B
Capital Lease Obligations153.2 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net134.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments531 M
Cash531 M
50 Day M A182.497
Net Interest Income-214 M
Total Current Liabilities694.6 M
Forward Price Earnings37.4532
Investments-794.8 M
Interest Expense204.6 M
Stock Based Compensation27.1 M
Long Term DebtB
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.6 M
Tax Provision14.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.012
Accounts Payable87.7 M
Net Debt7.6 B
Other Operating Expenses1.9 B
Non Current Assets Total20.1 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity20.7 B
Non Currrent Assets Other19.7 B
When determining whether AvalonBay Communities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Avalonbay Communities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Avalonbay Communities Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AvalonBay Communities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For information on how to trade AvalonBay Stock refer to our How to Trade AvalonBay Stock guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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When running AvalonBay Communities' price analysis, check to measure AvalonBay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AvalonBay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of AvalonBay Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AvalonBay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AvalonBay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AvalonBay Communities' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AvalonBay Communities. If investors know AvalonBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AvalonBay Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Earnings Share
6.56
Revenue Per Share
19.683
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Return On Assets
0.0273
The market value of AvalonBay Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AvalonBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AvalonBay Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AvalonBay Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AvalonBay Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AvalonBay Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AvalonBay Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AvalonBay Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.