Townsquare Media Stock Price Prediction
| TSQ Stock | USD 12.49 0.02 0.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Townsquare Media stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Townsquare Media shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Townsquare Media's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Townsquare Media and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Townsquare Media's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Townsquare Media, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Townsquare Media's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.767 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.34 | Wall Street Target Price 16.83 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Townsquare Media based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Townsquare stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Townsquare Media over a specific investment horizon. Using Townsquare Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Townsquare Media from the perspective of Townsquare Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Townsquare Media using Townsquare Media's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Townsquare using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Townsquare Media's stock price.
Townsquare Media Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Townsquare Media's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Townsquare Media stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Townsquare Media's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Townsquare Media stock will not fluctuate a lot when Townsquare Media's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Townsquare Media. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Townsquare Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Townsquare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Townsquare Media after-hype prediction price | USD 12.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Townsquare |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Townsquare Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Townsquare Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Townsquare Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Townsquare Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Townsquare Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Townsquare Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Townsquare Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Townsquare Media's historical news coverage. Townsquare Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.00 and 15.14, respectively. We have considered Townsquare Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Townsquare Media is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Townsquare Media is based on 3 months time horizon.
Townsquare Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Townsquare Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Townsquare Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Townsquare Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.57 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.49 | 12.57 | 0.88 |
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Townsquare Media Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of May Townsquare Media is traded for 12.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Townsquare is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Townsquare Media is about 1223.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.44. The company reported the last year's revenue of 454.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 134.35 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Townsquare Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Townsquare Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Townsquare Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Townsquare Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Townsquare Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Townsquare Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMDDF | Mirriad Advertising plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.01 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | (0.04) | 7 per month | 2.98 | (0.01) | 4.96 | (5.71) | 22.66 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | 0.59 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 17.66 | (11.20) | 62.91 | |
| CMPR | Cimpress NV | (2.30) | 9 per month | 2.54 | 0.02 | 4.48 | (4.53) | 28.31 | |
| OMC | Omnicom Group | 0.50 | 10 per month | 1.47 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (2.36) | 6.15 | |
| WPP | WPP PLC ADR | (0.29) | 8 per month | 1.86 | (0.03) | 1.97 | (2.37) | 10.07 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | (0.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.68 | (3.62) | 22.09 | |
| ADTH | AdTheorent Holding | 0.01 | 7 per month | 3.39 | 0.06 | 5.17 | (6.07) | 27.81 |
Townsquare Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Townsquare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Townsquare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Townsquare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Townsquare Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Townsquare Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Townsquare Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Townsquare Media based on analysis of Townsquare Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Townsquare Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Townsquare Media's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.67E-4 | 0.0528 | 0.0607 | 0.0362 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.54 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.29 |
Story Coverage note for Townsquare Media
The number of cover stories for Townsquare Media depends on current market conditions and Townsquare Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Townsquare Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Townsquare Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Townsquare Media Short Properties
Townsquare Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Townsquare Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Townsquare Media often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Townsquare Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Townsquare Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 61 M |
Check out Townsquare Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Townsquare Stock, please use our How to Invest in Townsquare Media guide.You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for Townsquare Stock analysis
When running Townsquare Media's price analysis, check to measure Townsquare Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Townsquare Media is operating at the current time. Most of Townsquare Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Townsquare Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Townsquare Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Townsquare Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Townsquare Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Townsquare Media. If investors know Townsquare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Townsquare Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.767 | Dividend Share 0.75 | Earnings Share (2.68) | Revenue Per Share 27.1 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Townsquare Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Townsquare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Townsquare Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Townsquare Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Townsquare Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Townsquare Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Townsquare Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Townsquare Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Townsquare Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.