Tejon Ranch Co Stock Price Prediction
| TRC Stock | USD 17.95 0.21 1.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Tejon Ranch stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Tejon Ranch shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Tejon Ranch's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tejon Ranch and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tejon Ranch's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tejon Ranch Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tejon Ranch's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.11 | Wall Street Target Price 26 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Tejon Ranch based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Tejon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tejon Ranch over a specific investment horizon. Using Tejon Ranch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tejon Ranch Co from the perspective of Tejon Ranch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tejon Ranch using Tejon Ranch's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tejon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tejon Ranch's stock price.
Tejon Ranch Implied Volatility | 308.03 |
Tejon Ranch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tejon Ranch Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tejon Ranch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tejon Ranch stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tejon Ranch's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Tejon Ranch. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tejon Ranch to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tejon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tejon Ranch after-hype prediction price | USD 18.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tejon |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tejon Ranch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tejon Ranch After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tejon Ranch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tejon Ranch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tejon Ranch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tejon Ranch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tejon Ranch's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tejon Ranch's historical news coverage. Tejon Ranch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.62 and 20.34, respectively. We have considered Tejon Ranch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tejon Ranch is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tejon Ranch is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tejon Ranch Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tejon Ranch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tejon Ranch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tejon Ranch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.87 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.95 | 18.48 | 0.38 |
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Tejon Ranch Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of May Tejon Ranch is traded for 17.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Tejon is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Tejon Ranch is about 1715.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.97. The company reported the last year's revenue of 44.74 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.27 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 23.43 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Tejon Ranch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tejon Ranch Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tejon Ranch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tejon Ranch's future price movements. Getting to know how Tejon Ranch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tejon Ranch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPLP-PA | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | (0.15) | 0.80 | (0.70) | 1.68 | |
| CODI-PA | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.40 | (1.76) | 6.07 | |
| BBU | Brookfield Business Partners | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.45 | (2.96) | 8.36 | |
| MATW | Matthews International | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.80 | (0.01) | 2.94 | (2.94) | 8.87 | |
| SPLP | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 10 per month | 1.58 | (0.01) | 2.74 | (2.95) | 9.67 | |
| GFF | Griffon | 0.98 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.93 | (3.10) | 11.55 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.15 | (2.49) | 8.23 | |
| CODI-PC | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.37 | (1.22) | 3.86 | |
| CODI-PB | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | (0.06) | 1.48 | (1.49) | 5.17 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | 0.18 | 11 per month | 0.81 | 0.20 | 2.00 | (1.49) | 6.50 |
Tejon Ranch Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tejon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tejon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tejon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tejon Ranch Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tejon Ranch stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tejon Ranch Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tejon Ranch based on analysis of Tejon Ranch hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tejon Ranch's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tejon Ranch's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001719 | 0.00207 | Price To Sales Ratio | 10.27 | 16.64 |
Story Coverage note for Tejon Ranch
The number of cover stories for Tejon Ranch depends on current market conditions and Tejon Ranch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tejon Ranch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tejon Ranch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tejon Ranch Short Properties
Tejon Ranch's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tejon Ranch's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tejon Ranch Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tejon Ranch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tejon Ranch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.5 M |
Check out Tejon Ranch Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Tejon Stock analysis
When running Tejon Ranch's price analysis, check to measure Tejon Ranch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tejon Ranch is operating at the current time. Most of Tejon Ranch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tejon Ranch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tejon Ranch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tejon Ranch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tejon Ranch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tejon Ranch. If investors know Tejon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tejon Ranch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 0.02 | Revenue Per Share 1.491 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Tejon Ranch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tejon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tejon Ranch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tejon Ranch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tejon Ranch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tejon Ranch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tejon Ranch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tejon Ranch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tejon Ranch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.