Graniteshares Platinum Trust Etf Price Prediction

PLTM Etf  USD 9.67  0.05  0.52%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of GraniteShares Platinum's the etf price is about 62 indicating that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GraniteShares, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GraniteShares Platinum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GraniteShares Platinum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GraniteShares Platinum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GraniteShares Platinum Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using GraniteShares Platinum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GraniteShares Platinum Trust from the perspective of GraniteShares Platinum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GraniteShares Platinum to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GraniteShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GraniteShares Platinum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out GraniteShares Platinum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GraniteShares Platinum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.288.8810.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.318.9110.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.229.9010.57
Details

GraniteShares Platinum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GraniteShares Platinum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GraniteShares Platinum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of GraniteShares Platinum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GraniteShares Platinum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GraniteShares Platinum's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GraniteShares Platinum's historical news coverage. GraniteShares Platinum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.06 and 11.26, respectively. We have considered GraniteShares Platinum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.67
9.66
After-hype Price
11.26
Upside
GraniteShares Platinum is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GraniteShares Platinum is based on 3 months time horizon.

GraniteShares Platinum Etf Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as GraniteShares Platinum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GraniteShares Platinum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GraniteShares Platinum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.60
  0.01 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.67
9.66
0.10 
2,667  
Notes

GraniteShares Platinum Hype Timeline

GraniteShares Platinum is at this time traded for 9.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. GraniteShares is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on GraniteShares Platinum is about 5517.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.67. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. GraniteShares Platinum had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check out GraniteShares Platinum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GraniteShares Platinum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GraniteShares Platinum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GraniteShares Platinum's future price movements. Getting to know how GraniteShares Platinum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GraniteShares Platinum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
444859BR2HUMANA INC 0.00 0 per month 1.07  0.07  1.60 (0.97) 8.02 
AQUIAquagold International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BRRAYBarloworld Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 4.01  0.09  16.06 (10.26) 45.69 
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation(0.26)3 per month 0.70  0.03  0.92 (1.29) 3.08 
ABHYXHigh Yield Municipal Fund(0.03)1 per month 0.14 (0.1) 0.34 (0.35) 1.03 
LBHIXThrivent High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.10 (0.06) 0.49 (0.25) 0.98 
SCAXFSparta Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  182.60 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 1.70  0.18  3.96 (2.60) 13.41 
AAEVXAmerican Century One 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.05  0.95 (1.04) 2.55 
RRTLXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.24  0.01  0.59 (0.58) 1.36 

GraniteShares Platinum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GraniteShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GraniteShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze GraniteShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GraniteShares Platinum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GraniteShares Platinum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GraniteShares Platinum Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GraniteShares Platinum based on analysis of GraniteShares Platinum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GraniteShares Platinum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GraniteShares Platinum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for GraniteShares Platinum

The number of cover stories for GraniteShares Platinum depends on current market conditions and GraniteShares Platinum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GraniteShares Platinum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GraniteShares Platinum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in GraniteShares Etf

When determining whether GraniteShares Platinum is a strong investment it is important to analyze GraniteShares Platinum's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GraniteShares Platinum's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GraniteShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out GraniteShares Platinum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
The market value of GraniteShares Platinum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares Platinum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares Platinum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares Platinum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares Platinum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares Platinum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares Platinum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares Platinum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.