Phinia Inc Stock Price Prediction

PHIN Stock   42.69  0.15  0.35%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of PHINIA's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PHINIA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
PHINIA Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of PHINIA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of PHINIA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PHINIA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PHINIA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PHINIA Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PHINIA's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.07
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.15
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.86
Wall Street Target Price
48
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of PHINIA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The PHINIA stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on PHINIA over a specific investment horizon. Using PHINIA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PHINIA Inc from the perspective of PHINIA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

PHINIA Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to PHINIA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PHINIA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PHINIA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PHINIA Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PHINIA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PHINIA.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in PHINIA. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PHINIA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PHINIA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PHINIA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out PHINIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PHINIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2946.6649.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.6945.0447.40
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.0333.0036.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.011.041.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PHINIA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PHINIA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PHINIA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PHINIA Inc.

PHINIA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PHINIA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PHINIA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PHINIA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PHINIA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PHINIA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PHINIA's historical news coverage. PHINIA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.19 and 44.89, respectively. We have considered PHINIA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.69
42.54
After-hype Price
44.89
Upside
PHINIA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PHINIA Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

PHINIA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PHINIA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PHINIA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PHINIA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.60 
2.37
  0.34 
  0.24 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.69
42.54
0.00 
415.79  
Notes

PHINIA Hype Timeline

PHINIA Inc is at this time traded for 42.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. PHINIA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on PHINIA is about 587.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.93. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PHINIA Inc last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out PHINIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

PHINIA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PHINIA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PHINIA's future price movements. Getting to know how PHINIA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PHINIA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

PHINIA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PHINIA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PHINIA using various technical indicators. When you analyze PHINIA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PHINIA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PHINIA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PHINIA Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PHINIA based on analysis of PHINIA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PHINIA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PHINIA's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01460.013
Price To Sales Ratio0.410.39

Story Coverage note for PHINIA

The number of cover stories for PHINIA depends on current market conditions and PHINIA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PHINIA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PHINIA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

PHINIA Short Properties

PHINIA's future price predictability will typically decrease when PHINIA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PHINIA Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PHINIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PHINIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47 M
Cash And Short Term Investments365 M
When determining whether PHINIA Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PHINIA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Phinia Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Phinia Inc Stock:
Check out PHINIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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When running PHINIA's price analysis, check to measure PHINIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PHINIA is operating at the current time. Most of PHINIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PHINIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PHINIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PHINIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PHINIA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PHINIA. If investors know PHINIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PHINIA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Dividend Share
0.75
Earnings Share
2.07
Revenue Per Share
75.587
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.034
The market value of PHINIA Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PHINIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PHINIA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PHINIA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PHINIA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PHINIA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PHINIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PHINIA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PHINIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.