Odyssey Marine Exploration Stock Price Prediction
| OMEX Stock | USD 5.14 0.17 3.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 7.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) |
Using Odyssey Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Odyssey Marine Exploration from the perspective of Odyssey Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Odyssey Marine using Odyssey Marine's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Odyssey using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Odyssey Marine's stock price.
Odyssey Marine Implied Volatility | 215.91 |
Odyssey Marine's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Odyssey Marine Exploration stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Odyssey Marine's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Odyssey Marine stock will not fluctuate a lot when Odyssey Marine's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Odyssey Marine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Odyssey because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Odyssey Marine after-hype prediction price | USD 5.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Odyssey contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Odyssey Marine Exploration will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 13.49% per day over the life of the 2024-06-21 option contract. With Odyssey Marine trading at USD 5.14, that is roughly USD 0.69 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Odyssey Marine's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Odyssey Marine Exploration options at the current volatility level of 215.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Odyssey |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Odyssey Marine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Odyssey Marine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Odyssey Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Odyssey Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Odyssey Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Odyssey Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Odyssey Marine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Odyssey Marine's historical news coverage. Odyssey Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.31 and 8.97, respectively. We have considered Odyssey Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Odyssey Marine is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Odyssey Marine Explo is based on 3 months time horizon.
Odyssey Marine Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Odyssey Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Odyssey Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Odyssey Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 3.86 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.14 | 5.14 | 0.00 |
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Odyssey Marine Hype Timeline
Odyssey Marine Explo is now traded for 5.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Odyssey is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Odyssey Marine is about 3509.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.10. About 49.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.03. Odyssey Marine Explo had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:12 split on the 22nd of February 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Odyssey Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Odyssey Marine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Odyssey Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Odyssey Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Odyssey Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Odyssey Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FA | First Advantage Corp | 0.14 | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.05 | 2.62 | (2.26) | 8.84 | |
| DPUI | Discount Print USA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.49 | 0.11 | 50.00 | (25.00) | 110.00 | |
| CASS | Cass Information Systems | 0.87 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.14 | (2.35) | 7.52 | |
| CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.48 | 7 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 3.03 | (2.53) | 12.69 | |
| NTIP | Network 1 Technologies | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.86 | (3.61) | 8.99 | |
| BV | BrightView Holdings | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.37 | 0.27 | 4.44 | (2.55) | 13.82 | |
| MMS | Maximus | (0.35) | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.04 | 1.68 | (1.56) | 4.17 | |
| CBZ | CBIZ Inc | (0.72) | 9 per month | 1.70 | (0) | 1.86 | (3.02) | 6.35 | |
| AZZ | AZZ Incorporated | (1.45) | 13 per month | 2.65 | 0.04 | 4.21 | (2.83) | 19.55 |
Odyssey Marine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Odyssey price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Odyssey using various technical indicators. When you analyze Odyssey charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Odyssey Marine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Odyssey Marine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Odyssey Marine Exploration, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Odyssey Marine based on analysis of Odyssey Marine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Odyssey Marine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Odyssey Marine's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 5.2E-5 | 5.0E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 115.37 | 109.61 |
Story Coverage note for Odyssey Marine
The number of cover stories for Odyssey Marine depends on current market conditions and Odyssey Marine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Odyssey Marine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Odyssey Marine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Odyssey Marine Short Properties
Odyssey Marine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Odyssey Marine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Odyssey Marine Exploration often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Odyssey Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Odyssey Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 M |
Additional Tools for Odyssey Stock Analysis
When running Odyssey Marine's price analysis, check to measure Odyssey Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Odyssey Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Odyssey Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Odyssey Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Odyssey Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Odyssey Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.