Middlefield Banc Stock Price Prediction
| MBCN Stock | USD 21.92 0.12 0.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Middlefield Banc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Middlefield Banc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Middlefield Banc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Middlefield Banc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Middlefield Banc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Middlefield Banc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Middlefield Banc's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.45 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.63 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.72 | Wall Street Target Price 28.67 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Middlefield Banc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Middlefield stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Middlefield Banc over a specific investment horizon. Using Middlefield Banc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Middlefield Banc from the perspective of Middlefield Banc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Middlefield Banc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Middlefield Banc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Middlefield because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Middlefield Banc after-hype prediction price | USD 21.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Middlefield |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlefield Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Middlefield Banc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Middlefield Banc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Middlefield Banc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Middlefield Banc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Middlefield Banc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Middlefield Banc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Middlefield Banc's historical news coverage. Middlefield Banc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.96 and 24.50, respectively. We have considered Middlefield Banc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Middlefield Banc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Middlefield Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Middlefield Banc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Middlefield Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Middlefield Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Middlefield Banc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.75 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.92 | 21.73 | 0.87 |
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Middlefield Banc Hype Timeline
Middlefield Banc is now traded for 21.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Middlefield is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.87%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Middlefield Banc is about 18333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.91. About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Middlefield Banc last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 12th of November 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Middlefield Banc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Middlefield Banc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Middlefield Banc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Middlefield Banc's future price movements. Getting to know how Middlefield Banc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Middlefield Banc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.32) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.79 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| LNKB | LINKBANCORP | (0.11) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.95 | (3.10) | 13.49 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 0.65 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.02 | (2.90) | 8.86 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | (0.28) | 9 per month | 0.86 | (0.03) | 1.36 | (1.43) | 5.77 |
Middlefield Banc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Middlefield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Middlefield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Middlefield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Middlefield Banc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Middlefield Banc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Middlefield Banc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Middlefield Banc based on analysis of Middlefield Banc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Middlefield Banc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Middlefield Banc's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0332 | 0.0262 | 0.0249 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.0 | 2.9 | 5.08 |
Story Coverage note for Middlefield Banc
The number of cover stories for Middlefield Banc depends on current market conditions and Middlefield Banc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Middlefield Banc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Middlefield Banc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Middlefield Banc Short Properties
Middlefield Banc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Middlefield Banc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Middlefield Banc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Middlefield Banc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Middlefield Banc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -56.4 M |
Check out Middlefield Banc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.Note that the Middlefield Banc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Middlefield Banc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Middlefield Stock analysis
When running Middlefield Banc's price analysis, check to measure Middlefield Banc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Middlefield Banc is operating at the current time. Most of Middlefield Banc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Middlefield Banc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Middlefield Banc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Middlefield Banc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Middlefield Banc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. If investors know Middlefield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlefield Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 2.14 | Revenue Per Share 8.502 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Middlefield Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlefield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlefield Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlefield Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlefield Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlefield Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlefield Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Middlefield Banc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlefield Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.