Icahn Enterprises Lp Stock Price Prediction
| IEP Stock | USD 17.25 0.02 0.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Icahn Enterprises stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Icahn Enterprises shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Icahn Enterprises' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Icahn Enterprises and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Icahn Enterprises' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Icahn Enterprises LP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Icahn Enterprises' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.631 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.93 | Wall Street Target Price 25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.21 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Icahn Enterprises based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Icahn stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Icahn Enterprises over a specific investment horizon. Using Icahn Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Icahn Enterprises LP from the perspective of Icahn Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Icahn Enterprises using Icahn Enterprises' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Icahn using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Icahn Enterprises' stock price.
Icahn Enterprises Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Icahn Enterprises' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Icahn. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Icahn Enterprises stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Icahn Enterprises may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Icahn Enterprises and may potentially protect profits, hedge Icahn Enterprises with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.6971 | Short Percent 0.0898 | Short Ratio 10.31 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 18.005 |
Icahn Enterprises Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Icahn Enterprises' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Icahn. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Icahn can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Icahn Enterprises LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Icahn Enterprises' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Icahn Enterprises.
Icahn Enterprises Implied Volatility | 43.17 |
Icahn Enterprises' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Icahn Enterprises LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Icahn Enterprises' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Icahn Enterprises stock will not fluctuate a lot when Icahn Enterprises' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Icahn Enterprises. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Icahn Enterprises to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Icahn because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Icahn Enterprises after-hype prediction price | USD 17.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Icahn contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Icahn Enterprises LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.7% per day over the life of the 2024-05-03 option contract. With Icahn Enterprises trading at USD 17.25, that is roughly USD 0.47 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Icahn Enterprises' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Icahn Enterprises LP options at the current volatility level of 43.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Icahn |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Icahn Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Icahn Enterprises After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Icahn Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Icahn Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Icahn Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Icahn Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Icahn Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Icahn Enterprises' historical news coverage. Icahn Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.23 and 19.25, respectively. We have considered Icahn Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Icahn Enterprises is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Icahn Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.
Icahn Enterprises Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Icahn Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Icahn Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Icahn Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.25 | 17.24 | 0.06 |
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Icahn Enterprises Hype Timeline
On the 29th of April Icahn Enterprises is traded for 17.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Icahn is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Icahn Enterprises is about 515.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.24. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Icahn Enterprises was currently reported as 9.25. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 579.57. Icahn Enterprises recorded a loss per share of 1.75. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2024. The firm had 10059:1000 split on the 13th of November 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Icahn Enterprises Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Icahn Enterprises Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Icahn Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Icahn Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Icahn Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Icahn Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.13 | 10 per month | 2.23 | 0.08 | 3.26 | (3.05) | 12.36 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | 0.26 | 12 per month | 1.77 | 0.14 | 5.21 | (3.11) | 12.07 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.71 | 0.03 | 2.90 | (2.27) | 9.76 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.93 | (2.15) | 15.60 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | (5.35) | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.19 | 2.70 | (2.56) | 8.10 | |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.18 | 2.88 | (2.53) | 9.77 | |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 1.05 | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.08 | 2.76 | (2.00) | 6.27 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 0.26 | 10 per month | 1.45 | (0) | 2.90 | (2.29) | 6.98 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | 0.18 | 11 per month | 1.69 | 0.04 | 4.30 | (2.95) | 10.44 | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | (0.12) | 9 per month | 1.09 | (0.06) | 1.54 | (1.81) | 4.20 |
Icahn Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Icahn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Icahn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Icahn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Icahn Enterprises Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Icahn Enterprises stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Icahn Enterprises LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Icahn Enterprises based on analysis of Icahn Enterprises hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Icahn Enterprises's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Icahn Enterprises's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0141 | 0.0468 | 0.0491 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.13 | 0.55 | 0.52 |
Story Coverage note for Icahn Enterprises
The number of cover stories for Icahn Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Icahn Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Icahn Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Icahn Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Icahn Enterprises Short Properties
Icahn Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Icahn Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Icahn Enterprises LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Icahn Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Icahn Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Check out Icahn Enterprises Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Icahn Enterprises information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Icahn Enterprises' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Icahn Stock analysis
When running Icahn Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Icahn Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Icahn Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Icahn Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Icahn Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Icahn Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Icahn Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Icahn Enterprises' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Icahn Enterprises. If investors know Icahn will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Icahn Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.631 | Dividend Share 6 | Earnings Share (1.75) | Revenue Per Share 28.359 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of Icahn Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Icahn that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Icahn Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Icahn Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Icahn Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Icahn Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Icahn Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Icahn Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Icahn Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.