Hilltop Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| HTH Stock | USD 30.28 0.04 0.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.057 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.65 | Wall Street Target Price 32.67 |
Using Hilltop Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hilltop Holdings from the perspective of Hilltop Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hilltop Holdings using Hilltop Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hilltop using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hilltop Holdings' stock price.
Hilltop Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Hilltop Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Hilltop. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Hilltop Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.6461 | Short Percent 0.0219 | Short Ratio 2.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 804.8 K | 50 Day MA 30.615 |
Hilltop Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hilltop Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hilltop. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hilltop can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hilltop Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hilltop Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hilltop Holdings.
Hilltop Holdings Implied Volatility | 41.45 |
Hilltop Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hilltop Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hilltop Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hilltop Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hilltop Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hilltop Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hilltop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hilltop Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 30.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hilltop |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilltop Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hilltop Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hilltop Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hilltop Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hilltop Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hilltop Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hilltop Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hilltop Holdings' historical news coverage. Hilltop Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.83 and 31.67, respectively. We have considered Hilltop Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hilltop Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hilltop Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hilltop Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hilltop Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilltop Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hilltop Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.42 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.28 | 30.25 | 0.10 |
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Hilltop Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 9th of June Hilltop Holdings is traded for 30.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Hilltop is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Hilltop Holdings is about 676.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.29. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hilltop Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Hilltop Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hilltop Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hilltop Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hilltop Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Hilltop Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hilltop Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WF | Woori Financial Group | (0.69) | 8 per month | 1.78 | (0.01) | 2.26 | (2.89) | 7.46 | |
| KEP | Korea Electric Power | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.04 | (4.64) | 10.45 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | 1.40 | 7 per month | 1.54 | 0.01 | 2.26 | (2.63) | 7.99 | |
| SKM | SK Telecom Co | 0.12 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.40 | (1.53) | 4.96 |
Hilltop Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hilltop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilltop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hilltop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Hilltop Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hilltop Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hilltop Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilltop Holdings based on analysis of Hilltop Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hilltop Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hilltop Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0137 | 0.0203 | 0.0182 | 0.0197 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.55 | 3.02 | 2.02 | 3.04 |
Story Coverage note for Hilltop Holdings
The number of cover stories for Hilltop Holdings depends on current market conditions and Hilltop Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hilltop Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hilltop Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hilltop Holdings Short Properties
Hilltop Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hilltop Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hilltop Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hilltop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilltop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Hilltop Stock analysis
When running Hilltop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hilltop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilltop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hilltop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilltop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilltop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilltop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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