Global Medical Reit Stock Price Prediction
| GMRE Stock | USD 8.33 0.21 2.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Global Medical REIT stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Global Medical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Global Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Global Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Global Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Medical REIT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Global Medical's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 10.79 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Global Medical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Global stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Global Medical over a specific investment horizon. Using Global Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Medical REIT from the perspective of Global Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Medical using Global Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Medical's stock price.
Global Medical Implied Volatility | 62.51 |
Global Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Medical REIT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Medical's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Global Medical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 8.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Medical's historical news coverage. Global Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.42 and 10.12, respectively. We have considered Global Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Medical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Medical REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.86 | 0.04 | 0.29 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.33 | 8.27 | 0.72 |
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Global Medical Hype Timeline
Global Medical REIT is currently traded for 8.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.29. Global is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Global Medical is about 110.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.04. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Medical REIT last dividend was issued on the 21st of March 2024. The entity had 1:400 split on the 17th of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Global Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEAK | PEAK Old | (16.22) | 9 per month | 10.01 | 0.12 | 4.76 | (3.61) | 102.41 | |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.02 | 2.51 | (2.71) | 7.68 | |
| VTR | Ventas Inc | (0.34) | 10 per month | 1.62 | (0.03) | 2.57 | (2.68) | 7.72 | |
| NHI | National Health Investors | (1.25) | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.19 | 1.79 | (1.80) | 10.94 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | 0.10 | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.04 | 2.12 | (2.06) | 7.18 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.86 | (3.36) | 11.26 | |
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.73 | 0.17 | 1.98 | (1.67) | 10.30 | |
| OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | (0.55) | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.09 | 2.01 | (1.88) | 9.82 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | (0.97) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.40 | (3.57) | 8.41 | |
| CHCT | Community Healthcare Trust | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.13 | (3.03) | 10.06 | |
| GMRE-PA | Global Medical REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.07) | 0.86 | (0.89) | 2.73 |
Global Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Medical REIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Medical based on analysis of Global Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Medical's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0542 | 0.0891 | 0.0901 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.28 | 4.64 | 4.24 |
Story Coverage note for Global Medical
The number of cover stories for Global Medical depends on current market conditions and Global Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Medical Short Properties
Global Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Medical REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.4 M |
Check out Global Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Medical's price analysis, check to measure Global Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Global Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Global Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Medical. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 0.21 | Earnings Share 0.23 | Revenue Per Share 2.152 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Global Medical REIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.