Golar Lng Limited Stock Price Prediction
| GLNG Stock | USD 26.46 0.13 0.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.36 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.84 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.94 | Wall Street Target Price 34.64 |
Using Golar LNG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golar LNG Limited from the perspective of Golar LNG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Golar LNG using Golar LNG's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Golar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Golar LNG's stock price.
Golar LNG Implied Volatility | 41.21 |
Golar LNG's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Golar LNG Limited stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Golar LNG's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Golar LNG stock will not fluctuate a lot when Golar LNG's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Golar LNG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Golar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Golar LNG after-hype prediction price | USD 26.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Golar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Golar LNG Limited will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.58% per day over the life of the 2024-06-21 option contract. With Golar LNG trading at USD 26.46, that is roughly USD 0.68 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Golar LNG's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Golar LNG Limited options at the current volatility level of 41.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Golar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golar LNG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Golar LNG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golar LNG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golar LNG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Golar LNG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golar LNG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golar LNG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golar LNG's historical news coverage. Golar LNG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.59 and 27.85, respectively. We have considered Golar LNG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golar LNG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golar LNG Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golar LNG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golar LNG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golar LNG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golar LNG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.64 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.46 | 26.22 | 0.42 |
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Golar LNG Hype Timeline
Golar LNG Limited is currently traded for 26.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Golar is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Golar LNG is about 342.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.28. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Golar LNG Limited has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Golar LNG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Golar LNG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golar LNG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golar LNG's future price movements. Getting to know how Golar LNG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golar LNG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | 2.34 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.22 | 4.42 | (2.50) | 11.86 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.50) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.18 | 2.36 | (2.09) | 10.45 | |
| EURN | Euronav NV | (3.39) | 8 per month | 1.90 | 0.12 | 3.36 | (3.07) | 12.24 | |
| FRO | Frontline | 0.51 | 8 per month | 1.71 | 0.15 | 3.53 | (2.95) | 10.75 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | (0.22) | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 3.31 | (2.12) | 7.35 | |
| LPG | Dorian LPG | (0.09) | 11 per month | 1.45 | 0.27 | 3.74 | (2.51) | 11.99 | |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy | (1.15) | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.04 | 1.79 | (1.89) | 4.71 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | (1.31) | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.22 | 3.16 | (2.17) | 6.62 | |
| FLNG | FLEX LNG | 0.08 | 6 per month | 0.77 | 0.19 | 1.62 | (1.56) | 4.99 | |
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | (1.57) | 3 per month | 1.50 | 0.17 | 2.51 | (2.68) | 7.07 | |
| NVGS | Navigator Holdings | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.11 | 2.81 | (2.21) | 11.41 |
Golar LNG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Golar LNG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Golar LNG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Golar LNG Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Golar LNG based on analysis of Golar LNG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Golar LNG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Golar LNG's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0244 | 0.0224 | 0.042 | 0.0462 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.01 | 9.18 | 8.21 | 6.91 |
Story Coverage note for Golar LNG
The number of cover stories for Golar LNG depends on current market conditions and Golar LNG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golar LNG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golar LNG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Golar LNG Short Properties
Golar LNG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Golar LNG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Golar LNG Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Golar LNG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golar LNG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 697.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Golar Stock analysis
When running Golar LNG's price analysis, check to measure Golar LNG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golar LNG is operating at the current time. Most of Golar LNG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golar LNG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golar LNG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golar LNG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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