Esco Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| ESE Stock | USD 108.85 1.57 1.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
ESCO Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ESCO Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ESCO Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ESCO Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ESCO Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ESCO Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ESCO Technologies' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.89 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.19 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.77 | Wall Street Target Price 121 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ESCO Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ESCO stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ESCO Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using ESCO Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ESCO Technologies from the perspective of ESCO Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ESCO Technologies using ESCO Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ESCO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ESCO Technologies' stock price.
ESCO Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ESCO Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ESCO. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ESCO Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long ESCO Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ESCO Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge ESCO Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 103.6279 | Short Percent 0.0121 | Short Ratio 1.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 166.6 K | 50 Day MA 102.1012 |
ESCO Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ESCO Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ESCO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ESCO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ESCO Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ESCO Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ESCO Technologies.
ESCO Technologies Implied Volatility | 54.49 |
ESCO Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ESCO Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ESCO Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ESCO Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when ESCO Technologies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ESCO Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ESCO Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ESCO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ESCO Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 108.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ESCO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ESCO Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.41% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With ESCO Technologies trading at USD 108.85, that is roughly USD 3.71 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ESCO Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring ESCO Technologies options at the current volatility level of 54.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ESCO |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESCO Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ESCO Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ESCO Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ESCO Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ESCO Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ESCO Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ESCO Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ESCO Technologies' historical news coverage. ESCO Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.93 and 110.49, respectively. We have considered ESCO Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ESCO Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ESCO Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
ESCO Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ESCO Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ESCO Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ESCO Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.78 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
108.85 | 108.71 | 0.13 |
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ESCO Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 6th of May ESCO Technologies is traded for 108.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. ESCO is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 108.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 124.48%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on ESCO Technologies is about 333.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 108.80. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of ESCO Technologies was currently reported as 44.72. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. ESCO Technologies last dividend was issued on the 28th of March 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of September 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out ESCO Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ESCO Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ESCO Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ESCO Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how ESCO Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ESCO Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOVT | Novanta | (2.58) | 10 per month | 2.14 | (0) | 2.84 | (2.90) | 10.33 | |
| SOTK | Sono Tek Corp | (0.19) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.95 | (4.25) | 12.88 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | (1.01) | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.17 | 4.56 | (2.83) | 25.32 | |
| BMI | Badger Meter | (0.58) | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.15 | 2.47 | (2.06) | 18.40 | |
| COHR | Coherent | 0.97 | 9 per month | 2.11 | 0.07 | 5.39 | (3.71) | 22.28 | |
| MLAB | Mesa Laboratories | 2.62 | 10 per month | 3.17 | 0.11 | 5.17 | (4.69) | 18.59 | |
| VPG | Vishay Precision Group | 0.29 | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.02 | 2.54 | (2.54) | 14.50 | |
| ST | Sensata Technologies Holding | (4.51) | 7 per month | 2.09 | 0.05 | 2.25 | (2.68) | 10.17 | |
| VNT | Vontier Corp | 0.19 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.08 | 2.28 | (2.26) | 8.89 |
ESCO Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ESCO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ESCO using various technical indicators. When you analyze ESCO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ESCO Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ESCO Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ESCO Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ESCO Technologies based on analysis of ESCO Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ESCO Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ESCO Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004341 | 0.003062 | 0.003345 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.22 | 2.82 | 2.66 |
Story Coverage note for ESCO Technologies
The number of cover stories for ESCO Technologies depends on current market conditions and ESCO Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ESCO Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ESCO Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ESCO Technologies Short Properties
ESCO Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when ESCO Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ESCO Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ESCO Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ESCO Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.9 M |
Check out ESCO Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade ESCO Stock refer to our How to Trade ESCO Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for ESCO Stock analysis
When running ESCO Technologies' price analysis, check to measure ESCO Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ESCO Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of ESCO Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ESCO Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ESCO Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ESCO Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ESCO Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ESCO Technologies. If investors know ESCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ESCO Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 3.6 | Revenue Per Share 37.573 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.088 |
The market value of ESCO Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ESCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ESCO Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ESCO Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ESCO Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ESCO Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ESCO Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ESCO Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ESCO Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.