Cra International Stock Price Prediction
| CRAI Stock | USD 148.28 1.43 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
CRA International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CRA International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CRA International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CRA International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CRA International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CRA International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CRA International's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.36 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.93 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.68 | Wall Street Target Price 163 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CRA International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CRA stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CRA International over a specific investment horizon. Using CRA International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CRA International from the perspective of CRA International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CRA International using CRA International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CRA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CRA International's stock price.
CRA International Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
CRA International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CRA International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CRA International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CRA International stock will not fluctuate a lot when CRA International's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CRA International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CRA International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CRA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CRA International after-hype prediction price | USD 149.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CRA International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CRA International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CRA International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CRA International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CRA International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CRA International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CRA International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CRA International's historical news coverage. CRA International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.57 and 151.85, respectively. We have considered CRA International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CRA International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CRA International is based on 3 months time horizon.
CRA International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CRA International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CRA International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CRA International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 2.14 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
148.28 | 149.71 | 0.00 |
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CRA International Hype Timeline
CRA International is currently traded for 148.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.79, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.72. CRA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 146.58%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.54%. %. The volatility of related hype on CRA International is about 160.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 147.56. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CRA International was currently reported as 30.59. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.51. CRA International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out CRA International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CRA International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CRA International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CRA International's future price movements. Getting to know how CRA International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CRA International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FC | Franklin Covey | (1.85) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.91 | (4.23) | 10.76 | |
| ICFI | ICF International | (2.57) | 9 per month | 1.05 | (0.01) | 2.27 | (1.82) | 5.42 | |
| HURN | Huron Consulting Group | (2.88) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.78 | (2.27) | 16.64 | |
| FCN | FTI Consulting | (2.25) | 12 per month | 1.33 | 0.01 | 1.74 | (2.60) | 20.25 | |
| FORR | Forrester Research | 0.15 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.12 | (5.03) | 14.18 | |
| EXPO | Exponent | 0.37 | 8 per month | 2.68 | 0.03 | 2.67 | (3.17) | 14.98 | |
| RGP | Resources Connection | (0.32) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.81 | (4.05) | 12.24 |
CRA International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CRA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CRA using various technical indicators. When you analyze CRA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CRA International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CRA International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CRA International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CRA International based on analysis of CRA International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CRA International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CRA International's related companies. | 2016 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003747 | 0.0108 | 0.0125 | 0.0205 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.96 | 1.5 | 1.72 | 1.51 |
Story Coverage note for CRA International
The number of cover stories for CRA International depends on current market conditions and CRA International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CRA International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CRA International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CRA International Short Properties
CRA International's future price predictability will typically decrease when CRA International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CRA International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CRA International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CRA International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.6 M |
Check out CRA International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in CRA Stock please use our How to Invest in CRA International guide.Note that the CRA International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CRA International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for CRA Stock analysis
When running CRA International's price analysis, check to measure CRA International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CRA International is operating at the current time. Most of CRA International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CRA International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CRA International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CRA International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CRA International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CRA International. If investors know CRA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CRA International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.36 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 5.39 | Revenue Per Share 89.038 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 |
The market value of CRA International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CRA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CRA International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CRA International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CRA International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CRA International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CRA International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CRA International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CRA International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.