Cipher Mining Stock Price Prediction
| CIFR Stock | USD 3.69 0.03 0.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Cipher Mining stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cipher Mining shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cipher Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cipher Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cipher Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cipher Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cipher Mining's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.04) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cipher Mining based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cipher stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cipher Mining over a specific investment horizon. Using Cipher Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cipher Mining from the perspective of Cipher Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cipher Mining using Cipher Mining's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cipher using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cipher Mining's stock price.
Cipher Mining Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cipher Mining's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cipher. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cipher Mining stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Cipher Mining may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cipher Mining and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cipher Mining with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 3.352 | Short Percent 0.078 | Short Ratio 1.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.1 M | 50 Day MA 3.9159 |
Cipher Mining Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cipher Mining's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cipher. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cipher can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cipher Mining. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cipher Mining's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cipher Mining.
Cipher Mining Implied Volatility | 267.97 |
Cipher Mining's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cipher Mining stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cipher Mining's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cipher Mining stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cipher Mining's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cipher Mining. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cipher Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cipher because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cipher Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 3.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cipher |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cipher Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cipher Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cipher Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cipher Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cipher Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cipher Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cipher Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cipher Mining's historical news coverage. Cipher Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 12.42, respectively. We have considered Cipher Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cipher Mining is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cipher Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cipher Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cipher Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cipher Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cipher Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.87 | 8.63 | 0.10 | 0.25 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.69 | 3.79 | 2.71 |
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Cipher Mining Hype Timeline
Cipher Mining is currently traded for 3.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Cipher is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.71%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.87%. The volatility of related hype on Cipher Mining is about 2961.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.94. The company currently holds 21.98 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Cipher Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cipher Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cipher Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cipher Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Cipher Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cipher Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLSK | CleanSpark | (0.11) | 12 per month | 6.08 | 0.15 | 19.88 | (9.60) | 49.31 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | 1.33 | 11 per month | 6.42 | 0.01 | 14.35 | (10.93) | 39.57 | |
| RIOT | Riot Blockchain | 1.49 | 10 per month | 4.84 | (0) | 14.12 | (7.76) | 30.24 | |
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp | (0.25) | 7 per month | 5.31 | 0.01 | 12.80 | (7.33) | 33.24 | |
| BTBT | Bit Digital | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.76 | (8.44) | 29.09 | |
| WULF | Terawulf | (0.01) | 10 per month | 5.50 | 0.08 | 12.66 | (9.45) | 43.07 | |
| SDIG | Stronghold Digital Mining | (0.23) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 13.50 | (9.39) | 45.60 |
Cipher Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cipher price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cipher using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cipher charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cipher Mining Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cipher Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cipher Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cipher Mining based on analysis of Cipher Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cipher Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cipher Mining's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 2.11 | 1.59 | Receivables Turnover | 146.3 | 153.61 |
Story Coverage note for Cipher Mining
The number of cover stories for Cipher Mining depends on current market conditions and Cipher Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cipher Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cipher Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cipher Mining Short Properties
Cipher Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cipher Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cipher Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cipher Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cipher Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 252.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.1 M |
Check out Cipher Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Cipher Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cipher Mining guide.Note that the Cipher Mining information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cipher Mining's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Cipher Stock analysis
When running Cipher Mining's price analysis, check to measure Cipher Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cipher Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Cipher Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cipher Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cipher Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cipher Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cipher Mining's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cipher Mining. If investors know Cipher will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cipher Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share 0.502 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 13.297 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.06) |
The market value of Cipher Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cipher that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cipher Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cipher Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cipher Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cipher Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cipher Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cipher Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cipher Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.